J. Fearnley vs P. Carreno-Busta prediction
AI prediction
Probability for membersThe model has J. Fearnley winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.
- Predicted winner
- J. Fearnley
- Probability
- Members only
- Likely score
- Members only
Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.
Community · Who wins?
No votes yetVote for the player you think will win. One vote per person, no account needed.
Form and record before the match
Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
- L
- 7 – 3
- Wins – losses
- 5 – 5
- 16 – 9
- Sets won – lost
- 13 – 13
- 1 loss
- Current streak
- 1 loss
- 35-24 (59%)
- 2026 record
- 29-19 (60%)
- 68-39 (64%)
- Record on hard court
- 76-53 (59%)
ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Fearnley and P. Carreno-Busta, before this match.
Recent matches
J. Fearnley's last five matches
- DC. ChidekhBrussels 2026 · Round of 16 · 21 October 20266-7 2-6
- VH. GastonBrussels 2026 · Round of 32 · 20 October 20266-3 6-0
- DD. DzumhurOlbia 2026 · Final · 18 October 20266-7 3-6
- VL. NardiOlbia 2026 · Semi-final · 17 October 20266-2 6-4
- VM. MrvaOlbia 2026 · Quarter-final · 16 October 20266-0 7-6
P. Carreno-Busta's last five matches
- DF. Auger-AliassimeShanghai 2026 · Round of 32 · 12 October 20263-6 6-4 1-6
- VA. TabiloShanghai 2026 · Round of 64 · 10 October 20264-6 7-6 6-4
- VM. NavoneShanghai 2026 · Round of 128 · 8 October 20264-6 7-5 6-3
- DD. MedvedevBeijing 2026 · Round of 32 · 2 October 20264-6 2-6
- VA. MannarinoBeijing 2026 · Qualifying · 29 September 20266-3 6-4
Head-to-head since 2020
No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Road through the tournament
This is J. Fearnley's first match of the tournament. This is P. Carreno-Busta's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat A. Zverev in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).
Key numbers
In tie-breaks, J. Fearnley wins 50 % (34 of 68), P. Carreno-Busta 56 % (56 of 100). In deciding sets, J. Fearnley wins 71 % of the time (52 matches), P. Carreno-Busta 49 % (91 matches). After losing the first set, J. Fearnley turned 31 % of matches around (83 occasions), P. Carreno-Busta 24 % (92 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Fearnley went on to win 96 % of matches, P. Carreno-Busta 81 %.
Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.
Frequently asked questions about J. Fearnley – P. Carreno-Busta
- Who is the favourite between J. Fearnley and P. Carreno-Busta?
- No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has J. Fearnley winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
- When is the J. Fearnley – P. Carreno-Busta match?
- On Saturday, 24 October 2026, at the Vienna tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
- What is the head-to-head between J. Fearnley and P. Carreno-Busta?
- No meeting between J. Fearnley and P. Carreno-Busta appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
- Where can I see the prediction for J. Fearnley – P. Carreno-Busta?
- In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.
How the model computes its predictions
Same tournament: Vienna
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