J. Lu vs T. Korpatsch prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

J. LuT. Korpatsch

33.9 %66.1 %

Model favourite: T. Korpatsch
Probability: 66 %
Predicted score: 0-2; Exact score
Actual score: 0-2 · T. Korpatsch

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerSuzhouRound of 32hard court12:05

J. Lu

T. Korpatsch

1812
Elo: 2029; 1796
Elo on hard court: 1921; 6 / 10
Form (last 10): 5 / 10; 6
Recent matches: 1; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 2.72
Odds: 1.41

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Lu

T. Korpatsch

4 – 6
Wins – losses: 5 – 5; 10 – 14
Sets won – lost: 11 – 13; 1 loss
Current streak: 3 losses; 4-5 (44%)
2026 record: 24-21 (53%); 10-15 (40%)
Record on hard court: 40-63 (39%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Lu and T. Korpatsch, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Korpatsch comes in with an Elo of 2029, against 1812 for J. Lu: a 217-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 125 points in favour of T. Korpatsch. J. Lu won 6 of the last ten matches, T. Korpatsch won 5. J. Lu has 2 wins in the last five matches. T. Korpatsch has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Korpatsch the favourite.

The model gave T. Korpatsch the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Korpatsch won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Lu's last five matches

DW. ZhengSuzhou 2026 · Qualifying · 5 October 20266-3 6-7 3-6
VZ. LiSuzhou 2026 · Qualifying · 4 October 20266-1 5-7 7-5
DA. ShubladzeJingshan 2026 · Round of 16 · 30 September 20260-6 2-6
VH. KinoshitaJingshan 2026 · Round of 32 · 28 September 20266-4 6-3
DM. HontamaVancouver 2026 · Round of 16 · 29 July 20263-6 3-6

T. Korpatsch's last five matches

DT. PrestonBeijing 2026 · Round of 128 · 30 September 20262-6 6-7
DL. TaggerUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 31 August 20260-6 6-7
DI. JovicCincinnati 2026 · Round of 64 · 16 August 20264-6 3-6
VM. JointCincinnati 2026 · Round of 128 · 14 August 20260-6 6-3 6-4
DR. ZarazuaToronto 2026 · Round of 128 · 4 August 20264-6 6-0 1-6

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is T. Korpatsch's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Golubic, who beat K. Volynets in the final (4-6 6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, J. Lu wins 50 % of the time (10 matches), T. Korpatsch 52 % (83 matches). After losing the first set, J. Lu turned 22 % of matches around (18 occasions), T. Korpatsch 19 % (130 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Lu went on to win 64 % of matches, T. Korpatsch 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Lu – T. Korpatsch

Who is the favourite between J. Lu and T. Korpatsch?: The match is over: T. Korpatsch won 2-0. Bookmakers make T. Korpatsch the favourite, priced at 1.41 against 2.72 for J. Lu. Pronocast's model had T. Korpatsch winning at 66 %.
When is the J. Lu – T. Korpatsch match?: On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 12:05, at the Suzhou tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Lu and T. Korpatsch?: No meeting between J. Lu and T. Korpatsch appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Lu – T. Korpatsch?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions