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J. Paolini vs D. Snigur prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
J. PaoliniD. Snigur
64.9 %35.1 %
Model favourite
J. Paolini
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · D. Snigur

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 64hard court08:00
J. Paolini
J. Paolini
vs
D. Snigur
D. Snigur
2274
Elo
2234
2154
Elo on hard court
2081
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.51
Odds
2.48

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Paolini
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
D. Snigur
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
13 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
1 win
19-15 (56%)
2026 record
31-12 (72%)
100-74 (57%)
Record on hard court
31-28 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Paolini and D. Snigur, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Paolini comes in with an Elo of 2274, against 2234 for D. Snigur: a 39-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 73 points in favour of J. Paolini. J. Paolini won 7 of the last ten matches, D. Snigur won 6. J. Paolini has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Snigur has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make J. Paolini the favourite.

The model gave J. Paolini the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Snigur won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

J. Paolini's last five matches

D. Snigur's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is J. Paolini's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, D. Snigur beat K. Kawa (3-6 6-4 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Paolini wins 58 % (37 of 64), D. Snigur 43 % (10 of 23). In deciding sets, J. Paolini wins 63 % of the time (107 matches), D. Snigur 46 % (39 matches). After losing the first set, J. Paolini turned 29 % of matches around (133 occasions), D. Snigur 20 % (51 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Paolini went on to win 87 % of matches, D. Snigur 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Paolini – D. Snigur

Who is the favourite between J. Paolini and D. Snigur?
The match is over: D. Snigur won 2-1. Bookmakers make J. Paolini the favourite, priced at 1.51 against 2.48 for D. Snigur. Pronocast's model had J. Paolini winning at 65 %.
When is the J. Paolini – D. Snigur match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 08:00, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Paolini and D. Snigur?
No meeting between J. Paolini and D. Snigur appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Paolini – D. Snigur?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026