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K. Smith vs H. Moriya prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
K. SmithH. Moriya
71.4 %28.6 %
Model favourite
K. Smith
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · H. Moriya

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerWuning 3 (China) - QualificationRound of 3205:55
K. Smith
K. Smith
vs
H. Moriya
H. Moriya
1897
Elo
1707
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
5
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.34
Odds
2.92

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

K. Smith
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
H. Moriya
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
10 – 16
Sets won – lost
12 – 11
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
31-24 (56%)
2026 record
22-24 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by K. Smith and H. Moriya, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Smith comes in with an Elo of 1897, against 1707 for H. Moriya: a 190-point edge. K. Smith won 4 of the last ten matches, H. Moriya won 5. K. Smith has 3 wins in the last five matches. H. Moriya has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make K. Smith the favourite.

The model gave K. Smith the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Moriya won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

K. Smith's last five matches

H. Moriya's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is K. Smith's first match of the tournament. This is H. Moriya's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, K. Smith wins 48 % (41 of 86), H. Moriya 46 % (31 of 68). In deciding sets, K. Smith wins 51 % of the time (59 matches), H. Moriya 45 % (76 matches). After losing the first set, K. Smith turned 16 % of matches around (80 occasions), H. Moriya 14 % (129 occasions). After winning the first set, K. Smith went on to win 80 % of matches, H. Moriya 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about K. Smith – H. Moriya

Who is the favourite between K. Smith and H. Moriya?
The match is over: H. Moriya won 2-1. Bookmakers make K. Smith the favourite, priced at 1.34 against 2.92 for H. Moriya. Pronocast's model had K. Smith winning at 71 %.
When is the K. Smith – H. Moriya match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 05:55, at the Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between K. Smith and H. Moriya?
No meeting between K. Smith and H. Moriya appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for K. Smith – H. Moriya?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026