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L. Ratti vs F. Coria prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
L. RattiF. Coria
51.6 %48.4 %
Model favourite
L. Ratti
Probability
52 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · F. Coria

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBuenos Aires 3Round of 32clay21:40
L. Ratti
L. Ratti
vs
F. Coria
F. Coria
1755
Elo
1850
1754
Elo on clay
1851
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
0
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.79
Odds
1.91

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Ratti
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
F. Coria
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
3 – 7
10 – 14
Sets won – lost
7 – 15
2 losses
Current streak
6 losses
12-15 (44%)
2026 record
4-10 (29%)
14-24 (37%)
Record on clay
148-104 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Ratti and F. Coria, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Coria comes in with an Elo of 1850, against 1755 for L. Ratti: a 95-point edge. On clay, the gap is 97 points in favour of F. Coria. L. Ratti won 5 of the last ten matches, F. Coria won 3. L. Ratti has 2 wins in the last five matches. F. Coria has no win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. Ratti the favourite.

The model gave L. Ratti the win at 52 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Coria won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

L. Ratti's last five matches

F. Coria's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is L. Ratti's first match of the tournament. This is F. Coria's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by R. A. Burruchaga, who beat A. Barrena in the final (7-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Ratti wins 42 % (5 of 12), F. Coria 53 % (46 of 87). In deciding sets, L. Ratti wins 40 % of the time (10 matches), F. Coria 55 % (112 matches). After losing the first set, L. Ratti turned 4 % of matches around (24 occasions), F. Coria 22 % (129 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Ratti went on to win 89 % of matches, F. Coria 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Ratti – F. Coria

Who is the favourite between L. Ratti and F. Coria?
The match is over: F. Coria won 2-1. Bookmakers make L. Ratti the favourite, priced at 1.79 against 1.91 for F. Coria. Pronocast's model had L. Ratti winning at 52 %.
When is the L. Ratti – F. Coria match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 21:40, at the Buenos Aires 3 tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between L. Ratti and F. Coria?
No meeting between L. Ratti and F. Coria appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Ratti – F. Coria?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Buenos Aires 3

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026