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L. Staeheli vs A. Rybakov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
L. StaeheliA. Rybakov
33.3 %66.7 %
Model favourite
A. Rybakov
Probability
67 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · L. Staeheli

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerColumbusQualifyinghard court16:10
L. Staeheli
L. Staeheli
vs
A. Rybakov
A. Rybakov
1801
Elo
1750
1678
Elo on hard court
1664
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.66
Odds
1.33

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Staeheli
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
A. Rybakov
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 10
Sets won – lost
13 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 win
12-9 (57%)
2026 record
10-16 (38%)
3-4 (43%)
Record on hard court
54-53 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Staeheli and A. Rybakov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Staeheli comes in with an Elo of 1801, against 1750 for A. Rybakov: a 51-point edge. L. Staeheli won 8 of the last ten matches, A. Rybakov won 5. L. Staeheli has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Rybakov has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Rybakov the favourite.

The model gave A. Rybakov the win at 67 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Staeheli won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

L. Staeheli's last five matches

A. Rybakov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Staeheli beat B. Kuzuhara (6-3 6-2). To reach this round, A. Rybakov beat M. Forbes (7-5 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat M. Damm in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, L. Staeheli turned 21 % of matches around (14 occasions), A. Rybakov 25 % (92 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Staeheli went on to win 90 % of matches, A. Rybakov 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Staeheli – A. Rybakov

Who is the favourite between L. Staeheli and A. Rybakov?
The match is over: L. Staeheli won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Rybakov the favourite, priced at 1.33 against 2.66 for L. Staeheli. Pronocast's model had A. Rybakov winning at 67 %.
When is the L. Staeheli – A. Rybakov match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 16:10, at the Columbus tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Staeheli and A. Rybakov?
No meeting between L. Staeheli and A. Rybakov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Staeheli – A. Rybakov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Columbus

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026