L. Staeheli vs R. Pascual Ferra prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
L. StaeheliR. Pascual Ferra
30.8 %69.2 %
Model favourite
R. Pascual Ferra
Probability
69 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · L. Staeheli

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonQualifyinghard court19:00
L. Staeheli
L. Staeheli
vs
1794
Elo
1815
1598
Elo on hard court
1801
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
0
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.81
Odds
1.35

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Staeheli
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
R. Pascual Ferra
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
15 – 8
Sets won – lost
13 – 11
2 wins
Current streak
1 win
10-7 (59%)
2026 record
6-5 (55%)
1-3 (25%)
Record on hard court
9-7 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Staeheli and R. Pascual Ferra, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Pascual Ferra comes in with an Elo of 1815, against 1794 for L. Staeheli: a 21-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 203 points in favour of R. Pascual Ferra. L. Staeheli won 8 of the last ten matches, R. Pascual Ferra won 5. L. Staeheli has 3 wins in the last five matches. R. Pascual Ferra has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make R. Pascual Ferra the favourite.

The model gave R. Pascual Ferra the win at 69 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Staeheli won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

L. Staeheli's last five matches

R. Pascual Ferra's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Staeheli beat M. Exsted (4-6 6-4 6-3). To reach this round, R. Pascual Ferra beat L. Tu (6-4 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4).

Frequently asked questions about L. Staeheli – R. Pascual Ferra

Who is the favourite between L. Staeheli and R. Pascual Ferra?
The match is over: L. Staeheli won 2-1. Bookmakers make R. Pascual Ferra the favourite, priced at 1.35 against 2.81 for L. Staeheli. Pronocast's model had R. Pascual Ferra winning at 69 %.
When is the L. Staeheli – R. Pascual Ferra match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 19:00, at the Tiburon tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Staeheli and R. Pascual Ferra?
No meeting between L. Staeheli and R. Pascual Ferra appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Staeheli – R. Pascual Ferra?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026