L. Zaar vs E. Chiesa prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

L. ZaarE. Chiesa

71.8 %28.2 %

Model favourite: L. Zaar
Probability: 72 %
Predicted score: 2-0
Actual score: 2-1 · L. Zaar

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerTolentinoQualifyingclay10:05

L. Zaar

E. Chiesa

1827
Elo: 1648; 1816
Elo on clay: 1628; 6 / 10
Form (last 10): 8 / 10; 3
Recent matches: 5; Even
Head-to-head: Even; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Zaar

E. Chiesa

3 – 7
Wins – losses: 1 – 1; 9 – 14
Sets won – lost: 2 – 3; 1 win
Current streak: 1 win; 3-6 (33%)
2026 record: 1-0 (100%); 3-10 (23%)
Record on clay: 1-1 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Zaar and E. Chiesa, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Zaar comes in with an Elo of 1827, against 1648 for E. Chiesa: a 179-point edge. On clay, the gap is 188 points in favour of L. Zaar. L. Zaar won 6 of the last ten matches, E. Chiesa won 8. L. Zaar has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave L. Zaar the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Zaar won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Zaar's last five matches

VA. OvarelliTolentino 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20266-2 6-1
DK. TsygourovaMontreux 2026 · Qualifying · 6 September 20265-7 6-3 6-7
DE. MalyginaHamburg 2026 · Qualifying · 19 July 20262-6 4-6
DZ. KulambayevaIasi 2026 · Qualifying · 12 July 20266-7 3-6
DV. LepchenkoBastad 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 July 20264-6 6-4 6-7

E. Chiesa's last five matches

VA. SenicaTolentino 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20264-6 6-4 6-3
DF. CurmiSan Sebastian 2025 · Qualifying · 6 September 20251-6 2-6

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Zaar beat A. Ovarelli (6-2 6-1). To reach this round, E. Chiesa beat A. Senica (4-6 6-4 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by O. Oliynykova, who beat N. Brancaccio in the final (6-2 6-0).

Frequently asked questions about L. Zaar – E. Chiesa

Who is the favourite between L. Zaar and E. Chiesa?: The match is over: L. Zaar won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had L. Zaar winning at 72 %.
When is the L. Zaar – E. Chiesa match?: On Monday, 21 September 2026 at 10:05, at the Tolentino tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between L. Zaar and E. Chiesa?: No meeting between L. Zaar and E. Chiesa appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Zaar – E. Chiesa?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions