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L. Zaar vs R. Masarova prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. ZaarR. Masarova
20.7 %79.3 %
Model favourite
R. Masarova
Probability
79 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · R. Masarova

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerTolentinoRound of 32clay10:40
L. Zaar
L. Zaar
vs
R. Masarova
R. Masarova
1836
Elo
2033
1826
Elo on clay
2052
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
4
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Zaar
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
R. Masarova
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
3 – 7
11 – 13
Sets won – lost
9 – 15
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
4-6 (40%)
2026 record
24-20 (55%)
4-10 (29%)
Record on clay
65-42 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Zaar and R. Masarova, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Masarova comes in with an Elo of 2033, against 1836 for L. Zaar: a 197-point edge. On clay, the gap is 226 points in favour of R. Masarova. L. Zaar won 6 of the last ten matches, R. Masarova won 3. L. Zaar has 2 wins in the last five matches. R. Masarova has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave R. Masarova the win at 79 %, with a likely score of 2-0. R. Masarova won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Zaar's last five matches

R. Masarova's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Zaar beat A. Ovarelli (6-2 6-1), then E. Chiesa (3-6 6-3 7-6). This is R. Masarova's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by O. Oliynykova, who beat N. Brancaccio in the final (6-2 6-0).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, L. Zaar turned 8 % of matches around (13 occasions), R. Masarova 32 % (109 occasions).

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Zaar – R. Masarova

Who is the favourite between L. Zaar and R. Masarova?
The match is over: R. Masarova won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had R. Masarova winning at 79 %.
When is the L. Zaar – R. Masarova match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 10:40, at the Tolentino tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between L. Zaar and R. Masarova?
No meeting between L. Zaar and R. Masarova appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Zaar – R. Masarova?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tolentino

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026