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M. A. Dellien Velasco vs H. Casanova prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. A. Dellien VelascoH. Casanova
34.9 %65.1 %
Model favourite
H. Casanova
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · M. A. Dellien Velasco

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBuenos Aires 3Round of 32clay18:10
M. A. Dellien Velasco
M. A. Dellien Velasco
vs
H. Casanova
H. Casanova
1668
Elo
1852
1674
Elo on clay
1855
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
0
Recent matches
0
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.65
Odds
1.41

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. A. Dellien Velasco
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
H. Casanova
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
6 – 4
4 – 16
Sets won – lost
14 – 8
5 losses
Current streak
2 losses
10-16 (38%)
2026 record
16-9 (64%)
111-108 (51%)
Record on clay
93-84 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. A. Dellien Velasco and H. Casanova, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Casanova comes in with an Elo of 1852, against 1668 for M. A. Dellien Velasco: a 185-point edge. On clay, the gap is 181 points in favour of H. Casanova. M. A. Dellien Velasco won 3 of the last ten matches, H. Casanova won 7. M. A. Dellien Velasco has no win in the last five matches. H. Casanova has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, H. Casanova leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make H. Casanova the favourite.

The model gave H. Casanova the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. A. Dellien Velasco won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. A. Dellien Velasco's last five matches

H. Casanova's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

H. Casanova leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is M. A. Dellien Velasco's first match of the tournament. This is H. Casanova's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by R. A. Burruchaga, who beat A. Barrena in the final (7-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. A. Dellien Velasco wins 49 % (26 of 53), H. Casanova 50 % (27 of 54). In deciding sets, M. A. Dellien Velasco wins 54 % of the time (67 matches), H. Casanova 54 % (52 matches). After losing the first set, M. A. Dellien Velasco turned 15 % of matches around (115 occasions), H. Casanova 19 % (91 occasions). After winning the first set, M. A. Dellien Velasco went on to win 84 % of matches, H. Casanova 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. A. Dellien Velasco – H. Casanova

Who is the favourite between M. A. Dellien Velasco and H. Casanova?
The match is over: M. A. Dellien Velasco won 2-0. Bookmakers make H. Casanova the favourite, priced at 1.41 against 2.65 for M. A. Dellien Velasco. Pronocast's model had H. Casanova winning at 65 %.
When is the M. A. Dellien Velasco – H. Casanova match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 18:10, at the Buenos Aires 3 tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. A. Dellien Velasco and H. Casanova?
Since 2020, H. Casanova leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. A. Dellien Velasco – H. Casanova?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Buenos Aires 3

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026