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M. A. Dellien Velasco vs J. P. Varillas prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. A. Dellien VelascoJ. P. Varillas
22.1 %77.9 %
Model favourite
J. P. Varillas
Probability
78 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · J. P. Varillas

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBuenos Aires 3Round of 16clay17:10
M. A. Dellien Velasco
M. A. Dellien Velasco
vs
J. P. Varillas
J. P. Varillas
1690
Elo
1973
1696
Elo on clay
1955
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
1
Recent matches
5
–
Head-to-head
Edge
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. A. Dellien Velasco
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
J. P. Varillas
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
3 – 7
Wins – losses
8 – 2
6 – 14
Sets won – lost
16 – 8
1 win
Current streak
3 wins
11-16 (41%)
2026 record
30-20 (60%)
112-108 (51%)
Record on clay
172-102 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. A. Dellien Velasco and J. P. Varillas, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. P. Varillas comes in with an Elo of 1973, against 1690 for M. A. Dellien Velasco: a 283-point edge. On clay, the gap is 260 points in favour of J. P. Varillas. M. A. Dellien Velasco won 4 of the last ten matches, J. P. Varillas won 8. M. A. Dellien Velasco has one win in the last five matches. J. P. Varillas has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, J. P. Varillas leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave J. P. Varillas the win at 78 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. P. Varillas won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. A. Dellien Velasco's last five matches

J. P. Varillas's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. P. Varillas leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. A. Dellien Velasco beat H. Casanova (6-3 6-4). To reach this round, J. P. Varillas beat T. Farjat (3-6 6-2 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by R. A. Burruchaga, who beat A. Barrena in the final (7-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. A. Dellien Velasco wins 49 % (26 of 53), J. P. Varillas 55 % (64 of 117). In deciding sets, M. A. Dellien Velasco wins 54 % of the time (67 matches), J. P. Varillas 59 % (107 matches). After losing the first set, M. A. Dellien Velasco turned 15 % of matches around (115 occasions), J. P. Varillas 20 % (135 occasions). After winning the first set, M. A. Dellien Velasco went on to win 84 % of matches, J. P. Varillas 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. A. Dellien Velasco – J. P. Varillas

Who is the favourite between M. A. Dellien Velasco and J. P. Varillas?
The match is over: J. P. Varillas won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had J. P. Varillas winning at 78 %.
When is the M. A. Dellien Velasco – J. P. Varillas match?
On Wednesday, 23 September 2026 at 17:10, at the Buenos Aires 3 tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. A. Dellien Velasco and J. P. Varillas?
Since 2020, J. P. Varillas leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. A. Dellien Velasco – J. P. Varillas?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Buenos Aires 3

Tournament page

Other matches on 23 September 2026

All matches on 23 September 2026