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M. Bellucci vs Y. Zhou prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. BellucciY. Zhou
77.9 %22.1 %
Model favourite
M. Bellucci
Probability
78 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · Y. Zhou

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 128hard court12:05
M. Bellucci
M. Bellucci
vs
Y. Zhou
Y. Zhou
2142
Elo
1849
2054
Elo on hard court
1786
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
9
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.26
Odds
3.79

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Bellucci
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
Y. Zhou
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
3 – 7
15 – 8
Sets won – lost
9 – 14
2 wins
Current streak
3 losses
34-27 (56%)
2026 record
20-21 (49%)
115-84 (58%)
Record on hard court
35-55 (39%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Bellucci and Y. Zhou, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Bellucci comes in with an Elo of 2142, against 1849 for Y. Zhou: a 293-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 268 points in favour of M. Bellucci. M. Bellucci won 7 of the last ten matches, Y. Zhou won 3. M. Bellucci has 4 wins in the last five matches. Y. Zhou has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Bellucci the favourite.

The model gave M. Bellucci the win at 78 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Y. Zhou won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Bellucci's last five matches

Y. Zhou's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Bellucci beat E. Ymer (4-6 7-5 7-6), then A. Muller (6-4 6-2). This is Y. Zhou's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Bellucci wins 53 % (61 of 115), Y. Zhou 42 % (21 of 50). In deciding sets, M. Bellucci wins 49 % of the time (72 matches), Y. Zhou 31 % (42 matches). After losing the first set, M. Bellucci turned 14 % of matches around (117 occasions), Y. Zhou 13 % (52 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Bellucci went on to win 83 % of matches, Y. Zhou 70 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Bellucci – Y. Zhou

Who is the favourite between M. Bellucci and Y. Zhou?
The match is over: Y. Zhou won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Bellucci the favourite, priced at 1.26 against 3.79 for Y. Zhou. Pronocast's model had M. Bellucci winning at 78 %.
When is the M. Bellucci – Y. Zhou match?
On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 12:05, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Bellucci and Y. Zhou?
No meeting between M. Bellucci and Y. Zhou appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Bellucci – Y. Zhou?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 7 October 2026

All matches on 7 October 2026