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M. Cecchinato vs M. Moeller prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. CecchinatoM. Moeller
62.5 %37.5 %
Model favourite
M. Cecchinato
Probability
62 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · M. Cecchinato

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSzczecinRound of 16clay13:10
M. Cecchinato
M. Cecchinato
vs
M. Moeller
M. Moeller
2006
Elo
1942
1986
Elo on clay
1878
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.53
Odds
2.28

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Cecchinato
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
M. Moeller
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
14 – 9
1 win
Current streak
1 win
36-26 (58%)
2026 record
20-10 (67%)
180-135 (57%)
Record on clay
42-34 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Cecchinato and M. Moeller, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Cecchinato comes in with an Elo of 2006, against 1942 for M. Moeller: a 64-point edge. On clay, the gap is 108 points in favour of M. Cecchinato. M. Cecchinato won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Moeller won 6. M. Cecchinato has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Moeller has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Cecchinato the favourite.

The model gave M. Cecchinato the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Cecchinato won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Cecchinato's last five matches

M. Moeller's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Cecchinato beat H. Squire (7-5 6-3). To reach this round, M. Moeller beat D. Michalski (6-2 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by T. A. Tirante, who beat P. Llamas Ruiz in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Cecchinato wins 58 % (78 of 135), M. Moeller 70 % (23 of 33). In deciding sets, M. Cecchinato wins 47 % of the time (101 matches), M. Moeller 54 % (35 matches). After losing the first set, M. Cecchinato turned 15 % of matches around (149 occasions), M. Moeller 20 % (46 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Cecchinato went on to win 84 % of matches, M. Moeller 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Cecchinato – M. Moeller

Who is the favourite between M. Cecchinato and M. Moeller?
The match is over: M. Cecchinato won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Cecchinato the favourite, priced at 1.53 against 2.28 for M. Moeller. Pronocast's model had M. Cecchinato winning at 62 %.
When is the M. Cecchinato – M. Moeller match?
On Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 13:10, at the Szczecin tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Cecchinato and M. Moeller?
No meeting between M. Cecchinato and M. Moeller appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Cecchinato – M. Moeller?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Szczecin

Tournament page

Other matches on 17 September 2026

All matches on 17 September 2026