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M. Colmegna vs M. Ristic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. ColmegnaM. Ristic
18.3 %81.7 %
Model favourite
M. Ristic
Probability
82 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Ristic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerLjubljanaRound of 32clay12:15
M. Colmegna
M. Colmegna
vs
M. Ristic
M. Ristic
1765
Elo
2000
1776
Elo on clay
1990
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
4.80
Odds
1.15

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Colmegna
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
M. Ristic
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 10
Sets won – lost
13 – 12
1 win
Current streak
2 losses
3-2 (60%)
2026 record
18-14 (56%)
16-15 (52%)
Record on clay
21-18 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Colmegna and M. Ristic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Ristic comes in with an Elo of 2000, against 1765 for M. Colmegna: a 235-point edge. On clay, the gap is 213 points in favour of M. Ristic. M. Colmegna won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Ristic won 7. M. Colmegna has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Ristic has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Ristic the favourite.

The model gave M. Ristic the win at 82 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Ristic won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Colmegna's last five matches

M. Ristic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Colmegna beat G. Price (6-2 6-3). This is M. Ristic's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by K. Juvan, who beat S. Waltert in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, M. Colmegna turned 9 % of matches around (11 occasions), M. Ristic 22 % (23 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Colmegna went on to win 82 % of matches, M. Ristic 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Colmegna – M. Ristic

Who is the favourite between M. Colmegna and M. Ristic?
The match is over: M. Ristic won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Ristic the favourite, priced at 1.15 against 4.80 for M. Colmegna. Pronocast's model had M. Ristic winning at 82 %.
When is the M. Colmegna – M. Ristic match?
On Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 12:15, at the Ljubljana tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Colmegna and M. Ristic?
No meeting between M. Colmegna and M. Ristic appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Colmegna – M. Ristic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Ljubljana

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 September 2026

All matches on 15 September 2026