M. Jorge vs S. Kraus prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. JorgeS. Kraus
25.2 %74.8 %
Model favourite
S. Kraus
Probability
75 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · S. Kraus

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerPortoRound of 16hard court14:05
M. Jorge
M. Jorge
vs
S. Kraus
S. Kraus
1906
Elo
2104
1889
Elo on hard court
1893
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
5
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Jorge
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
S. Kraus
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
8 – 14
Sets won – lost
12 – 11
1 win
Current streak
1 win
7-7 (50%)
2026 record
34-22 (61%)
7-5 (58%)
Record on hard court
18-25 (42%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Jorge and S. Kraus, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

S. Kraus comes in with an Elo of 2104, against 1906 for M. Jorge: a 198-point edge. M. Jorge won 7 of the last ten matches, S. Kraus won 5. M. Jorge has 2 wins in the last five matches. S. Kraus has one win in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to M. Jorge. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave S. Kraus the win at 75 %, with a likely score of 2-0. S. Kraus won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Jorge's last five matches

S. Kraus's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Jorge beat C. Cervino Ruiz (6-3 6-4). To reach this round, S. Kraus beat L. Cabrera (6-1 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by T. Valentova, who beat L. Tararudee in the final (6-4 6-2).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, M. Jorge wins 55 % of the time (11 matches), S. Kraus 60 % (40 matches). After losing the first set, M. Jorge turned 15 % of matches around (20 occasions), S. Kraus 15 % (73 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Jorge went on to win 100 % of matches, S. Kraus 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Jorge – S. Kraus

Who is the favourite between M. Jorge and S. Kraus?
The match is over: S. Kraus won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had S. Kraus winning at 75 %.
When is the M. Jorge – S. Kraus match?
On Wednesday, 23 September 2026 at 14:05, at the Porto tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Jorge and S. Kraus?
No meeting between M. Jorge and S. Kraus appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Jorge – S. Kraus?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 23 September 2026

All matches on 23 September 2026