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M. Pohankova vs K. Swan prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. PohankovaK. Swan
54.4 %45.6 %
Model favourite
M. Pohankova
Probability
54 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · M. Pohankova

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerPortoQuarter-finalhard court17:30
M. Pohankova
M. Pohankova
vs
K. Swan
K. Swan
2051
Elo
2083
2050
Elo on hard court
2036
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
6
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Pohankova
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
K. Swan
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 8
Sets won – lost
13 – 8
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
11-8 (58%)
2026 record
6-6 (50%)
8-3 (73%)
Record on hard court
12-9 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Pohankova and K. Swan, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Swan comes in with an Elo of 2083, against 2051 for M. Pohankova: a 32-point edge. M. Pohankova won 6 of the last ten matches, K. Swan won 8. M. Pohankova has 4 wins in the last five matches. K. Swan has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Pohankova the win at 54 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Pohankova won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Pohankova's last five matches

K. Swan's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Pohankova beat F. Jorge (6-2 6-1), then V. Podrez (6-3 6-4). To reach this round, K. Swan beat S. Yamalapalli (6-1 6-0), then V. Steiner (6-1 6-0). In 2025, the tournament was won by T. Valentova, who beat L. Tararudee in the final (6-4 6-2).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, M. Pohankova turned 0 % of matches around (10 occasions), K. Swan 17 % (18 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Pohankova went on to win 100 % of matches, K. Swan 71 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Pohankova – K. Swan

Who is the favourite between M. Pohankova and K. Swan?
The match is over: M. Pohankova won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Pohankova winning at 54 %.
When is the M. Pohankova – K. Swan match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 17:30, at the Porto tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Pohankova and K. Swan?
No meeting between M. Pohankova and K. Swan appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Pohankova – K. Swan?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026