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M. Timofeeva vs M. Pohankova prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. TimofeevaM. Pohankova
56.9 %43.1 %
Model favourite
M. Timofeeva
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · M. Timofeeva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerPortoSemi-finalhard court13:30
M. Timofeeva
M. Timofeeva
vs
M. Pohankova
M. Pohankova
2196
Elo
2080
2049
Elo on hard court
2080
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
7
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.62
Odds
2.20

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Timofeeva
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Pohankova
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
7 – 3
16 – 6
Sets won – lost
16 – 7
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
29-13 (69%)
2026 record
12-8 (60%)
36-27 (57%)
Record on hard court
9-3 (75%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Timofeeva and M. Pohankova, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Timofeeva comes in with an Elo of 2196, against 2080 for M. Pohankova: a 116-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 31 points in favour of M. Pohankova. M. Timofeeva won 8 of the last ten matches, M. Pohankova won 7. M. Timofeeva has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Pohankova has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Timofeeva the favourite.

The model gave M. Timofeeva the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Timofeeva won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Timofeeva's last five matches

M. Pohankova's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Timofeeva beat S. Johnson (6-4 6-2), then K. Rinaldo Persson (6-3 6-0), then G. Knutson (6-1 6-2). To reach this round, M. Pohankova beat F. Jorge (6-2 6-1), then V. Podrez (6-3 6-4), then K. Swan (3-6 7-5 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by T. Valentova, who beat L. Tararudee in the final (6-4 6-2).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, M. Timofeeva turned 18 % of matches around (51 occasions), M. Pohankova 9 % (11 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Timofeeva went on to win 84 % of matches, M. Pohankova 100 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Timofeeva – M. Pohankova

Who is the favourite between M. Timofeeva and M. Pohankova?
The match is over: M. Timofeeva won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Timofeeva the favourite, priced at 1.62 against 2.20 for M. Pohankova. Pronocast's model had M. Timofeeva winning at 57 %.
When is the M. Timofeeva – M. Pohankova match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 13:30, at the Porto tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Timofeeva and M. Pohankova?
No meeting between M. Timofeeva and M. Pohankova appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Timofeeva – M. Pohankova?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026