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M. Timofeeva vs G. Knutson prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. TimofeevaG. Knutson
63.8 %36.2 %
Model favourite
M. Timofeeva
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Timofeeva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerPortoQuarter-finalhard court15:40
M. Timofeeva
M. Timofeeva
vs
G. Knutson
G. Knutson
2183
Elo
2037
2025
Elo on hard court
1993
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
2
Recent matches
7
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.46
Odds
2.52

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Timofeeva
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
G. Knutson
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
8 – 2
14 – 8
Sets won – lost
16 – 7
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
28-13 (68%)
2026 record
23-14 (62%)
35-27 (56%)
Record on hard court
32-21 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Timofeeva and G. Knutson, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Timofeeva comes in with an Elo of 2183, against 2037 for G. Knutson: a 146-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 32 points in favour of M. Timofeeva. M. Timofeeva won 7 of the last ten matches, G. Knutson won 8. M. Timofeeva has 4 wins in the last five matches. G. Knutson has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Timofeeva the favourite.

The model gave M. Timofeeva the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Timofeeva won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Timofeeva's last five matches

G. Knutson's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Timofeeva beat S. Johnson (6-4 6-2), then K. Rinaldo Persson (6-3 6-0). To reach this round, G. Knutson beat K. Sebov (6-4 6-2), then A. Akli (6-4 5-7 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by T. Valentova, who beat L. Tararudee in the final (6-4 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Timofeeva wins 36 % (10 of 28), G. Knutson 43 % (6 of 14). In deciding sets, M. Timofeeva wins 44 % of the time (36 matches), G. Knutson 62 % (26 matches). After losing the first set, M. Timofeeva turned 18 % of matches around (51 occasions), G. Knutson 22 % (36 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Timofeeva went on to win 84 % of matches, G. Knutson 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Timofeeva – G. Knutson

Who is the favourite between M. Timofeeva and G. Knutson?
The match is over: M. Timofeeva won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Timofeeva the favourite, priced at 1.46 against 2.52 for G. Knutson. Pronocast's model had M. Timofeeva winning at 64 %.
When is the M. Timofeeva – G. Knutson match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 15:40, at the Porto tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Timofeeva and G. Knutson?
No meeting between M. Timofeeva and G. Knutson appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Timofeeva – G. Knutson?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026