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M. L. Carle vs E. Gorgodze prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. L. CarleE. Gorgodze
59.8 %40.2 %
Model favourite
M. L. Carle
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · E. Gorgodze

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerLjubljanaRound of 32clay13:00
M. L. Carle
M. L. Carle
vs
E. Gorgodze
E. Gorgodze
1894
Elo
1957
1893
Elo on clay
1928
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
6
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.57
Odds
2.25

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. L. Carle
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
E. Gorgodze
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
12 – 11
Sets won – lost
13 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
12-12 (50%)
2026 record
15-22 (41%)
82-64 (56%)
Record on clay
45-47 (49%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. L. Carle and E. Gorgodze, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Gorgodze comes in with an Elo of 1957, against 1894 for M. L. Carle: a 63-point edge. On clay, the gap is 35 points in favour of E. Gorgodze. M. L. Carle won 5 of the last ten matches, E. Gorgodze won 7. M. L. Carle has 2 wins in the last five matches. E. Gorgodze has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. L. Carle the favourite.

The model gave M. L. Carle the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Gorgodze won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. L. Carle's last five matches

E. Gorgodze's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. L. Carle's first match of the tournament. This is E. Gorgodze's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by K. Juvan, who beat S. Waltert in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. L. Carle wins 36 % (17 of 47), E. Gorgodze 69 % (25 of 36). In deciding sets, M. L. Carle wins 51 % of the time (72 matches), E. Gorgodze 50 % (54 matches). After losing the first set, M. L. Carle turned 24 % of matches around (107 occasions), E. Gorgodze 16 % (62 occasions). After winning the first set, M. L. Carle went on to win 79 % of matches, E. Gorgodze 73 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. L. Carle – E. Gorgodze

Who is the favourite between M. L. Carle and E. Gorgodze?
The match is over: E. Gorgodze won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. L. Carle the favourite, priced at 1.57 against 2.25 for E. Gorgodze. Pronocast's model had M. L. Carle winning at 60 %.
When is the M. L. Carle – E. Gorgodze match?
On Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 13:00, at the Ljubljana tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. L. Carle and E. Gorgodze?
No meeting between M. L. Carle and E. Gorgodze appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. L. Carle – E. Gorgodze?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Ljubljana

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 September 2026

All matches on 15 September 2026