M. Moeller vs T. Torres prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

M. MoellerT. Torres

63.4 %36.6 %

Model favourite: M. Moeller
Probability: 63 %
Predicted score: 2-0; Exact score
Actual score: 2-0 · M. Moeller

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBragaRound of 32clay15:55

M. Moeller

T. Torres

1952
Elo: 1843; 1866
Elo on clay: 1887; 6 / 10
Form (last 10): 4 / 10; 3
Recent matches: 1; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 1.48
Odds: 2.50

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Moeller

T. Torres

6 – 4
Wins – losses: 4 – 6; 15 – 10
Sets won – lost: 12 – 14; 1 loss
Current streak: 4 losses; 23-12 (66%)
2026 record: 7-7 (50%); 42-35 (55%)
Record on clay: 13-9 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Moeller and T. Torres, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Moeller comes in with an Elo of 1952, against 1843 for T. Torres: a 110-point edge. On clay, the gap is 22 points in favour of T. Torres. M. Moeller won 6 of the last ten matches, T. Torres won 4. M. Moeller has 3 wins in the last five matches. T. Torres has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Moeller the favourite.

The model gave M. Moeller the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Moeller won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Moeller's last five matches

DL. MikrutGenova 2 (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Semi-final · 26 September 20263-6 6-3 6-7
VD. BlanchGenova 2 (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Quarter-final · 25 September 20266-3 4-6 6-3
VF. ArnaboldiGenova 2 (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 16 · 23 September 20266-4 6-4
VS. TravagliaGenova 2 (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 22 September 20266-4 4-6 6-2
DM. CecchinatoSzczecin 2026 · Round of 16 · 17 September 20266-7 7-6 2-6

T. Torres's last five matches

DJ. KymPorto 2026 · Round of 32 · 28 September 20266-3 5-7 1-6
DM. AlkayaIstanbul 2026 · Round of 32 · 8 September 20263-6 6-4 2-6
DM. PetkovicPorto 2 2026 · Round of 32 · 31 August 20266-4 5-7 5-7
DH. GastonEstoril 2026 · Quarter-final · 24 July 20263-6 4-6
VA. TabiloEstoril 2026 · Round of 16 · 22 July 20266-4 6-4

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Moeller's first match of the tournament. This is T. Torres's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Mikrut, who beat V. Gaubas in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, M. Moeller wins 54 % of the time (39 matches), T. Torres 61 % (18 matches). After losing the first set, M. Moeller turned 19 % of matches around (48 occasions), T. Torres 36 % (11 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Moeller went on to win 87 % of matches, T. Torres 69 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Moeller – T. Torres

Who is the favourite between M. Moeller and T. Torres?: The match is over: M. Moeller won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Moeller the favourite, priced at 1.48 against 2.50 for T. Torres. Pronocast's model had M. Moeller winning at 63 %.
When is the M. Moeller – T. Torres match?: On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 15:55, at the Braga tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Moeller and T. Torres?: No meeting between M. Moeller and T. Torres appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Moeller – T. Torres?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions