M. Rottgering vs E. Winter prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. RottgeringE. Winter
69.5 %30.5 %
Model favourite
M. Rottgering
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · M. Rottgering

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerColumbusRound of 32hard court23:00
vs
E. Winter
E. Winter
1963
Elo
1785
1948
Elo on hard court
1763
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
1
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.36
Odds
3.00

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Rottgering
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
E. Winter
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
14 – 7
Sets won – lost
12 – 10
2 losses
Current streak
3 losses
12-7 (63%)
2026 record
20-18 (53%)
13-9 (59%)
Record on hard court
42-41 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Rottgering and E. Winter, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Rottgering comes in with an Elo of 1963, against 1785 for E. Winter: a 178-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 185 points in favour of M. Rottgering. M. Rottgering won 7 of the last ten matches, E. Winter won 5. M. Rottgering has 3 wins in the last five matches. E. Winter has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Rottgering the favourite.

The model gave M. Rottgering the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Rottgering won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Rottgering's last five matches

E. Winter's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is M. Rottgering's first match of the tournament. This is E. Winter's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat M. Damm in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Rottgering wins 80 % (8 of 10), E. Winter 52 % (12 of 23). In deciding sets, M. Rottgering wins 50 % of the time (10 matches), E. Winter 48 % (29 matches). After losing the first set, M. Rottgering turned 12 % of matches around (17 occasions), E. Winter 23 % (43 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Rottgering went on to win 89 % of matches, E. Winter 77 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Rottgering – E. Winter

Who is the favourite between M. Rottgering and E. Winter?
The match is over: M. Rottgering won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Rottgering the favourite, priced at 1.36 against 3.00 for E. Winter. Pronocast's model had M. Rottgering winning at 70 %.
When is the M. Rottgering – E. Winter match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 23:00, at the Columbus tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Rottgering and E. Winter?
No meeting between M. Rottgering and E. Winter appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Rottgering – E. Winter?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Columbus

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026