M. Soto vs V. Sachko prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. SotoV. Sachko
35.1 %64.9 %
Model favourite
V. Sachko
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · V. Sachko

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTullnQuarter-finalclay12:15
M. Soto
M. Soto
vs
V. Sachko
V. Sachko
1860
Elo
1966
1847
Elo on clay
1932
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.77
Odds
1.39

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Soto
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
V. Sachko
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 10
Sets won – lost
12 – 11
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
18-15 (55%)
2026 record
21-21 (50%)
59-58 (50%)
Record on clay
113-90 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Soto and V. Sachko, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

V. Sachko comes in with an Elo of 1966, against 1860 for M. Soto: a 106-point edge. On clay, the gap is 85 points in favour of V. Sachko. M. Soto won 5 of the last ten matches, V. Sachko won 5. M. Soto has 3 wins in the last five matches. V. Sachko has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make V. Sachko the favourite.

The model gave V. Sachko the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. V. Sachko won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Soto's last five matches

V. Sachko's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Soto beat S. Kopp (7-6 6-2), then M. Moeller (6-4 3-6 6-0). To reach this round, V. Sachko beat D. Siniakov (6-4 7-5), then M. Topo (6-2 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Trungelliti, who beat A. Paulson in the final (7-5 6-1).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Soto wins 50 % (31 of 62), V. Sachko 43 % (44 of 102). In deciding sets, M. Soto wins 59 % of the time (39 matches), V. Sachko 56 % (118 matches). After losing the first set, M. Soto turned 14 % of matches around (76 occasions), V. Sachko 21 % (157 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Soto went on to win 87 % of matches, V. Sachko 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Soto – V. Sachko

Who is the favourite between M. Soto and V. Sachko?
The match is over: V. Sachko won 2-1. Bookmakers make V. Sachko the favourite, priced at 1.39 against 2.77 for M. Soto. Pronocast's model had V. Sachko winning at 65 %.
When is the M. Soto – V. Sachko match?
On Friday, 11 September 2026 at 12:15, at the Tulln tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Soto and V. Sachko?
No meeting between M. Soto and V. Sachko appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Soto – V. Sachko?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tulln

Tournament page

Other matches on 11 September 2026

All matches on 11 September 2026