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P. Sekulic vs K. Matsuda prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. SekulicK. Matsuda
64.8 %35.2 %
Model favourite
P. Sekulic
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · P. Sekulic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPhan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationRound of 16hard court04:40
P. Sekulic
P. Sekulic
vs
K. Matsuda
K. Matsuda
1756
Elo
1743
1739
Elo on hard court
1740
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.44
Odds
2.59

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Sekulic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
K. Matsuda
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
3 – 7
Wins – losses
7 – 3
8 – 15
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
4 losses
Current streak
1 win
10-17 (37%)
2026 record
14-8 (64%)
70-76 (48%)
Record on hard court
23-17 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Sekulic and K. Matsuda, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1756 against 1743): nothing separates them in the model's rating. P. Sekulic won 3 of the last ten matches, K. Matsuda won 6. P. Sekulic has one win in the last five matches. K. Matsuda has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make P. Sekulic the favourite.

The model gave P. Sekulic the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Sekulic won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Sekulic's last five matches

K. Matsuda's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, K. Matsuda beat M. Borisiouk (7-5 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Sekulic wins 47 % (30 of 64), K. Matsuda 71 % (15 of 21). In deciding sets, P. Sekulic wins 52 % of the time (52 matches), K. Matsuda 56 % (16 matches). After losing the first set, P. Sekulic turned 10 % of matches around (72 occasions), K. Matsuda 28 % (18 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Sekulic went on to win 82 % of matches, K. Matsuda 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Sekulic – K. Matsuda

Who is the favourite between P. Sekulic and K. Matsuda?
The match is over: P. Sekulic won 2-1. Bookmakers make P. Sekulic the favourite, priced at 1.44 against 2.59 for K. Matsuda. Pronocast's model had P. Sekulic winning at 65 %.
When is the P. Sekulic – K. Matsuda match?
On Friday, 11 September 2026 at 04:40, at the Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between P. Sekulic and K. Matsuda?
No meeting between P. Sekulic and K. Matsuda appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Sekulic – K. Matsuda?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 11 September 2026

All matches on 11 September 2026