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M. Timofeeva vs N. Osaka prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. TimofeevaN. Osaka
21.8 %78.2 %
Model favourite
N. Osaka
Probability
78 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · N. Osaka

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 64hard court11:00
M. Timofeeva
M. Timofeeva
vs
N. Osaka
N. Osaka
2229
Elo
2455
2103
Elo on hard court
2299
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
6
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
4.03
Odds
1.22

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Timofeeva
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
N. Osaka
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
9 – 1
Wins – losses
7 – 3
18 – 4
Sets won – lost
15 – 9
6 wins
Current streak
1 loss
32-13 (71%)
2026 record
27-10 (73%)
39-27 (59%)
Record on hard court
69-31 (69%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Timofeeva and N. Osaka, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

N. Osaka comes in with an Elo of 2455, against 2229 for M. Timofeeva: a 226-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 196 points in favour of N. Osaka. M. Timofeeva won 9 of the last ten matches, N. Osaka won 7. M. Timofeeva has 5 wins in the last five matches. N. Osaka has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make N. Osaka the favourite.

The model gave N. Osaka the win at 78 %, with a likely score of 2-0. N. Osaka won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Timofeeva's last five matches

N. Osaka's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Timofeeva beat D. Vidmanova (6-3 6-3). This is N. Osaka's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Timofeeva wins 37 % (11 of 30), N. Osaka 52 % (24 of 46). In deciding sets, M. Timofeeva wins 46 % of the time (37 matches), N. Osaka 62 % (55 matches). After losing the first set, M. Timofeeva turned 18 % of matches around (51 occasions), N. Osaka 29 % (51 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Timofeeva went on to win 85 % of matches, N. Osaka 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Timofeeva – N. Osaka

Who is the favourite between M. Timofeeva and N. Osaka?
The match is over: N. Osaka won 2-1. Bookmakers make N. Osaka the favourite, priced at 1.22 against 4.03 for M. Timofeeva. Pronocast's model had N. Osaka winning at 78 %.
When is the M. Timofeeva – N. Osaka match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 11:00, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Timofeeva and N. Osaka?
No meeting between M. Timofeeva and N. Osaka appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Timofeeva – N. Osaka?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026