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M. Vrbensky vs K. Wehnelt prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. VrbenskyK. Wehnelt
42.3 %57.7 %
Model favourite
K. Wehnelt
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · K. Wehnelt

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSzczecinQualifyingclay11:10
M. Vrbensky
M. Vrbensky
vs
K. Wehnelt
K. Wehnelt
1614
Elo
1767
1556
Elo on clay
1779
2 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
0
Recent matches
2
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.19
Odds
1.58

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Vrbensky
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
K. Wehnelt
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
2 – 8
Wins – losses
6 – 4
8 – 18
Sets won – lost
13 – 11
2 losses
Current streak
1 win
5-15 (25%)
2026 record
11-8 (58%)
63-75 (46%)
Record on clay
20-21 (49%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Vrbensky and K. Wehnelt, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Wehnelt comes in with an Elo of 1767, against 1614 for M. Vrbensky: a 152-point edge. On clay, the gap is 223 points in favour of K. Wehnelt. M. Vrbensky won 2 of the last ten matches, K. Wehnelt won 6. M. Vrbensky has one win in the last five matches. K. Wehnelt has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, K. Wehnelt leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make K. Wehnelt the favourite.

The model gave K. Wehnelt the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Wehnelt won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Vrbensky's last five matches

K. Wehnelt's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

K. Wehnelt leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is M. Vrbensky's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, K. Wehnelt beat M. Zielinski (6-7 6-2 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by T. A. Tirante, who beat P. Llamas Ruiz in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Vrbensky wins 56 % (27 of 48), K. Wehnelt 31 % (8 of 26). In deciding sets, M. Vrbensky wins 49 % of the time (57 matches), K. Wehnelt 48 % (23 matches). After losing the first set, M. Vrbensky turned 12 % of matches around (90 occasions), K. Wehnelt 10 % (31 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Vrbensky went on to win 80 % of matches, K. Wehnelt 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Vrbensky – K. Wehnelt

Who is the favourite between M. Vrbensky and K. Wehnelt?
The match is over: K. Wehnelt won 2-0. Bookmakers make K. Wehnelt the favourite, priced at 1.58 against 2.19 for M. Vrbensky. Pronocast's model had K. Wehnelt winning at 58 %.
When is the M. Vrbensky – K. Wehnelt match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 11:10, at the Szczecin tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Vrbensky and K. Wehnelt?
Since 2020, K. Wehnelt leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Vrbensky – K. Wehnelt?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Szczecin

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026