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N. Bartunkova vs M. Frech prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
N. BartunkovaM. Frech
58.7 %41.3 %
Model favourite
N. Bartunkova
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · N. Bartunkova

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 64hard court11:35
N. Bartunkova
N. Bartunkova
vs
M. Frech
M. Frech
2253
Elo
2115
2100
Elo on hard court
2072
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
0
Recent matches
1
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.63
Odds
2.25

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

N. Bartunkova
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
M. Frech
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 12
Sets won – lost
13 – 9
1 loss
Current streak
1 win
33-20 (62%)
2026 record
19-23 (45%)
28-16 (64%)
Record on hard court
95-89 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by N. Bartunkova and M. Frech, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

N. Bartunkova comes in with an Elo of 2253, against 2115 for M. Frech: a 137-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 28 points in favour of N. Bartunkova. N. Bartunkova won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Frech won 6. N. Bartunkova has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Frech has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, N. Bartunkova leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make N. Bartunkova the favourite.

The model gave N. Bartunkova the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. N. Bartunkova won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

N. Bartunkova's last five matches

M. Frech's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

N. Bartunkova leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is N. Bartunkova's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, M. Frech beat E. Jacquemot (7-5 3-6 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, N. Bartunkova wins 29 % (7 of 24), M. Frech 43 % (32 of 74). In deciding sets, N. Bartunkova wins 56 % of the time (34 matches), M. Frech 50 % (109 matches). After losing the first set, N. Bartunkova turned 28 % of matches around (29 occasions), M. Frech 19 % (148 occasions). After winning the first set, N. Bartunkova went on to win 78 % of matches, M. Frech 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about N. Bartunkova – M. Frech

Who is the favourite between N. Bartunkova and M. Frech?
The match is over: N. Bartunkova won 2-0. Bookmakers make N. Bartunkova the favourite, priced at 1.63 against 2.25 for M. Frech. Pronocast's model had N. Bartunkova winning at 59 %.
When is the N. Bartunkova – M. Frech match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 11:35, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between N. Bartunkova and M. Frech?
Since 2020, N. Bartunkova leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for N. Bartunkova – M. Frech?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026