P. Hercog vs L. Romero Gormaz prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

P. HercogL. Romero Gormaz

41.7 %58.3 %

Model favourite: L. Romero Gormaz
Probability: 58 %
Predicted score: 0-2
Actual score: 1-2 · L. Romero Gormaz

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerTolentinoRound of 32clay15:40

P. Hercog

L. Romero Gormaz

1903
Elo: 1956; 1921
Elo on clay: 1967; 4 / 10
Form (last 10): 4 / 10; 1
Recent matches: 3; Even
Head-to-head: Even; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Hercog

L. Romero Gormaz

6 – 4
Wins – losses: 4 – 6; 13 – 12
Sets won – lost: 13 – 13; 2 losses
Current streak: 2 losses; 9-6 (60%)
2026 record: 23-20 (53%); 27-21 (56%)
Record on clay: 52-51 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Hercog and L. Romero Gormaz, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Romero Gormaz comes in with an Elo of 1956, against 1903 for P. Hercog: a 54-point edge. On clay, the gap is 46 points in favour of L. Romero Gormaz. P. Hercog won 4 of the last ten matches, L. Romero Gormaz won 4. P. Hercog has one win in the last five matches. L. Romero Gormaz has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave L. Romero Gormaz the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Romero Gormaz won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Hercog's last five matches

DJ. StruplovaLjubljana 2026 · Round of 32 · 14 September 20266-7 2-6
DM. UchijimaUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 25 August 20263-6 3-6
VD. JakupovicKitzbuhel (Austria) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 13 July 20266-2 2-6 6-4
DB. AndreescuWimbledon 2026 · Qualifying · 23 June 20264-6 2-6
DXiy. WangHuzhou 2026 · Quarter-final · 1 May 20263-6 7-6 4-6

L. Romero Gormaz's last five matches

DM. TrevisanValencia 2026 · Round of 32 · 15 September 20266-1 2-6 4-6
DA. IbragimovaAntalya 4 (Turkey) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 16 · 9 September 20265-7 1-6
VB. CengizAntalya 4 (Turkey) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 September 20266-7 7-5 7-6
DJ. GarlandUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 25 August 20266-4 4-6 5-7
DS. Sorribes TormoTargu Mures (Romania) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 27 July 20266-3 3-6 3-6

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is P. Hercog's first match of the tournament. This is L. Romero Gormaz's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by O. Oliynykova, who beat N. Brancaccio in the final (6-2 6-0).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Hercog wins 53 % (10 of 19), L. Romero Gormaz 39 % (12 of 31). In deciding sets, P. Hercog wins 54 % of the time (26 matches), L. Romero Gormaz 36 % (47 matches). After losing the first set, P. Hercog turned 16 % of matches around (37 occasions), L. Romero Gormaz 11 % (53 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Hercog went on to win 76 % of matches, L. Romero Gormaz 75 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Hercog – L. Romero Gormaz

Who is the favourite between P. Hercog and L. Romero Gormaz?: The match is over: L. Romero Gormaz won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had L. Romero Gormaz winning at 58 %.
When is the P. Hercog – L. Romero Gormaz match?: On Monday, 21 September 2026 at 15:40, at the Tolentino tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between P. Hercog and L. Romero Gormaz?: No meeting between P. Hercog and L. Romero Gormaz appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Hercog – L. Romero Gormaz?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions