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P. Lagutin vs M. Marterer prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. LagutinM. Marterer
63.8 %36.2 %
Model favourite
P. Lagutin
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · P. Lagutin

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBiellaQualifyingclay12:15
PL
P. Lagutin
vs
M. Marterer
M. Marterer
1962
Elo
1832
1956
Elo on clay
1800
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
5
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.49
Odds
2.44

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Lagutin
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
M. Marterer
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
4 – 6
16 – 9
Sets won – lost
13 – 14
1 win
Current streak
1 win
8-3 (73%)
2026 record
1-0 (100%)
6-2 (75%)
Record on clay
58-53 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Lagutin and M. Marterer, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Lagutin comes in with an Elo of 1962, against 1832 for M. Marterer: a 130-point edge. On clay, the gap is 156 points in favour of P. Lagutin. P. Lagutin won 9 of the last ten matches, M. Marterer won 3. P. Lagutin has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Marterer has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make P. Lagutin the favourite.

The model gave P. Lagutin the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Lagutin won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Lagutin's last five matches

M. Marterer's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, P. Lagutin beat M. Roehrich (6-1 6-0). To reach this round, M. Marterer beat F. Arnaboldi (6-1 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by S. Napolitano, who beat K. Feldbausch in the final (7-5 6-3).

Key numbers

After winning the first set, P. Lagutin went on to win 80 % of matches, M. Marterer 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Lagutin – M. Marterer

Who is the favourite between P. Lagutin and M. Marterer?
The match is over: P. Lagutin won 2-0. Bookmakers make P. Lagutin the favourite, priced at 1.49 against 2.44 for M. Marterer. Pronocast's model had P. Lagutin winning at 64 %.
When is the P. Lagutin – M. Marterer match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 12:15, at the Biella tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between P. Lagutin and M. Marterer?
No meeting between P. Lagutin and M. Marterer appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Lagutin – M. Marterer?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Biella

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026