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Q. Vandecasteele vs B. Nakashima prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
Q. VandecasteeleB. Nakashima
52.2 %47.8 %
Model favourite
Q. Vandecasteele
Probability
52 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · B. Nakashima

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonQualifyinghard court19:00
Q. Vandecasteele
Q. Vandecasteele
vs
B. Nakashima
B. Nakashima
1793
Elo
1762
1789
Elo on hard court
1749
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.75
Odds
1.94

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Q. Vandecasteele
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
B. Nakashima
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
2 – 4
16 – 7
Sets won – lost
4 – 8
1 win
Current streak
1 win
22-18 (55%)
2026 record
1-1 (50%)
42-45 (48%)
Record on hard court
2-4 (33%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Q. Vandecasteele and B. Nakashima, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Q. Vandecasteele comes in with an Elo of 1793, against 1762 for B. Nakashima: a 30-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 40 points in favour of Q. Vandecasteele. Q. Vandecasteele won 6 of the last ten matches, B. Nakashima won 6. Q. Vandecasteele has 3 wins in the last five matches. B. Nakashima has 2 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to Q. Vandecasteele. Bookmakers make Q. Vandecasteele the favourite.

The model gave Q. Vandecasteele the win at 52 %, with a likely score of 2-0. B. Nakashima won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

Q. Vandecasteele's last five matches

B. Nakashima's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Q. Vandecasteele beat N. Zamora (6-1 7-5). To reach this round, B. Nakashima beat K. Bigun (7-5 6-0). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4).

Frequently asked questions about Q. Vandecasteele – B. Nakashima

Who is the favourite between Q. Vandecasteele and B. Nakashima?
The match is over: B. Nakashima won 2-0. Bookmakers make Q. Vandecasteele the favourite, priced at 1.75 against 1.94 for B. Nakashima. Pronocast's model had Q. Vandecasteele winning at 52 %.
When is the Q. Vandecasteele – B. Nakashima match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 19:00, at the Tiburon tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Q. Vandecasteele and B. Nakashima?
No meeting between Q. Vandecasteele and B. Nakashima appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for Q. Vandecasteele – B. Nakashima?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026