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R. Seggerman vs M. Krueger prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
R. SeggermanM. Krueger
57.7 %42.3 %
Model favourite
R. Seggerman
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · M. Krueger

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonRound of 16hard court20:20
R. Seggerman
R. Seggerman
vs
M. Krueger
M. Krueger
1860
Elo
1832
1755
Elo on hard court
1805
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
3
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.67
Odds
2.18

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

R. Seggerman
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Krueger
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
3 – 7
14 – 11
Sets won – lost
8 – 16
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
14-8 (64%)
2026 record
9-17 (35%)
29-27 (52%)
Record on hard court
117-118 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by R. Seggerman and M. Krueger, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Seggerman comes in with an Elo of 1860, against 1832 for M. Krueger: a 28-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 50 points in favour of M. Krueger. R. Seggerman won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Krueger won 4. R. Seggerman has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Krueger has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make R. Seggerman the favourite.

The model gave R. Seggerman the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Krueger won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

R. Seggerman's last five matches

M. Krueger's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, R. Seggerman beat A. Fenty (6-7 7-5 6-2), then A. Rybakov (7-6 6-3), then A. Mayo (1-6 6-4 6-4). To reach this round, M. Krueger beat K. Smith (7-6 6-7 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, R. Seggerman wins 53 % (31 of 59), M. Krueger 39 % (51 of 131). In deciding sets, R. Seggerman wins 57 % of the time (40 matches), M. Krueger 50 % (101 matches). After losing the first set, R. Seggerman turned 28 % of matches around (60 occasions), M. Krueger 16 % (155 occasions). After winning the first set, R. Seggerman went on to win 88 % of matches, M. Krueger 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about R. Seggerman – M. Krueger

Who is the favourite between R. Seggerman and M. Krueger?
The match is over: M. Krueger won 2-1. Bookmakers make R. Seggerman the favourite, priced at 1.67 against 2.18 for M. Krueger. Pronocast's model had R. Seggerman winning at 58 %.
When is the R. Seggerman – M. Krueger match?
On Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 20:20, at the Tiburon tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between R. Seggerman and M. Krueger?
No meeting between R. Seggerman and M. Krueger appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for R. Seggerman – M. Krueger?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 17 September 2026

All matches on 17 September 2026