Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

R. Zarazua vs A. Sabalenka prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
R. ZarazuaA. Sabalenka
4.4 %95.6 %
Model favourite
A. Sabalenka
Probability
96 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · A. Sabalenka

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 64hard court13:10
R. Zarazua
R. Zarazua
vs
A. Sabalenka
A. Sabalenka
2016
Elo
2588
1944
Elo on hard court
2570
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
2
Recent matches
0
–
Head-to-head
Edge
15.01
Odds
1.02

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

R. Zarazua
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
A. Sabalenka
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
3 – 7
Wins – losses
8 – 2
10 – 15
Sets won – lost
17 – 5
1 win
Current streak
1 loss
17-26 (40%)
2026 record
46-9 (84%)
49-60 (45%)
Record on hard court
183-53 (78%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by R. Zarazua and A. Sabalenka, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Sabalenka comes in with an Elo of 2588, against 2016 for R. Zarazua: a 572-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 626 points in favour of A. Sabalenka. R. Zarazua won 3 of the last ten matches, A. Sabalenka won 8. R. Zarazua has one win in the last five matches. A. Sabalenka has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Sabalenka leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Sabalenka the favourite.

The model gave A. Sabalenka the win at 96 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Sabalenka won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

R. Zarazua's last five matches

A. Sabalenka's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Sabalenka leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, R. Zarazua beat A. Bondar (7-6 6-3). This is A. Sabalenka's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, R. Zarazua wins 46 % (23 of 50), A. Sabalenka 69 % (66 of 96). In deciding sets, R. Zarazua wins 47 % of the time (75 matches), A. Sabalenka 56 % (107 matches). After losing the first set, R. Zarazua turned 15 % of matches around (109 occasions), A. Sabalenka 37 % (91 occasions). After winning the first set, R. Zarazua went on to win 82 % of matches, A. Sabalenka 91 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about R. Zarazua – A. Sabalenka

Who is the favourite between R. Zarazua and A. Sabalenka?
The match is over: A. Sabalenka won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Sabalenka the favourite, priced at 1.02 against 15.01 for R. Zarazua. Pronocast's model had A. Sabalenka winning at 96 %.
When is the R. Zarazua – A. Sabalenka match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 13:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between R. Zarazua and A. Sabalenka?
Since 2020, A. Sabalenka leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for R. Zarazua – A. Sabalenka?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026