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S. Johnson vs M. Rapolu prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
S. JohnsonM. Rapolu
55.2 %44.8 %
Model favourite
S. Johnson
Probability
55 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · M. Rapolu

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerCaldas da RainhaQualifyinghard court13:10
SJ
S. Johnson
vs
M. Rapolu
M. Rapolu
1970
Elo
1879
1904
Elo on hard court
1830
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
9
Recent matches
6
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.71
Odds
2.00

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Johnson
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
M. Rapolu
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
3 – 2
Wins – losses
3 – 3
7 – 4
Sets won – lost
6 – 6
1 win
Current streak
1 win
3-2 (60%)
2026 record
1-1 (50%)
2-1 (67%)
Record on hard court
3-3 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Johnson and M. Rapolu, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

S. Johnson comes in with an Elo of 1970, against 1879 for M. Rapolu: a 91-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 74 points in favour of S. Johnson. S. Johnson won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Rapolu won 6. S. Johnson has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Rapolu has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make S. Johnson the favourite.

The model gave S. Johnson the win at 55 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Rapolu won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

S. Johnson's last five matches

M. Rapolu's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, S. Johnson beat M. Rouvroy (6-4 6-2). To reach this round, M. Rapolu beat Z. Kulambayeva (6-3 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Iatcenko, who beat G. Knutson in the final (6-2 5-7 6-2).

Frequently asked questions about S. Johnson – M. Rapolu

Who is the favourite between S. Johnson and M. Rapolu?
The match is over: M. Rapolu won 2-0. Bookmakers make S. Johnson the favourite, priced at 1.71 against 2.00 for M. Rapolu. Pronocast's model had S. Johnson winning at 55 %.
When is the S. Johnson – M. Rapolu match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 13:10, at the Caldas da Rainha tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. Johnson and M. Rapolu?
No meeting between S. Johnson and M. Rapolu appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Johnson – M. Rapolu?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Caldas da Rainha

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026