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S. Nagal vs L. Mikrut prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
S. NagalL. Mikrut
25.6 %74.4 %
Model favourite
L. Mikrut
Probability
74 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · L. Mikrut

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBragaRound of 32clay17:55
S. Nagal
S. Nagal
vs
L. Mikrut
L. Mikrut
1911
Elo
2071
1934
Elo on clay
2092
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
0
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
3.43
Odds
1.28

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Nagal
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
L. Mikrut
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
8 – 2
9 – 12
Sets won – lost
16 – 7
4 losses
Current streak
5 wins
21-25 (46%)
2026 record
16-9 (64%)
117-91 (56%)
Record on clay
50-30 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Nagal and L. Mikrut, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Mikrut comes in with an Elo of 2071, against 1911 for S. Nagal: a 160-point edge. On clay, the gap is 158 points in favour of L. Mikrut. S. Nagal won 4 of the last ten matches, L. Mikrut won 8. S. Nagal has one win in the last five matches. L. Mikrut has 5 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, L. Mikrut leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make L. Mikrut the favourite.

The model gave L. Mikrut the win at 74 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Mikrut won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

S. Nagal's last five matches

L. Mikrut's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

L. Mikrut leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is S. Nagal's first match of the tournament. This is L. Mikrut's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Mikrut, who beat V. Gaubas in the final (6-3 6-4). L. Mikrut is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. Nagal wins 56 % (44 of 79), L. Mikrut 53 % (20 of 38). In deciding sets, S. Nagal wins 39 % of the time (95 matches), L. Mikrut 62 % (39 matches). After losing the first set, S. Nagal turned 12 % of matches around (121 occasions), L. Mikrut 30 % (53 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Nagal went on to win 82 % of matches, L. Mikrut 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Nagal – L. Mikrut

Who is the favourite between S. Nagal and L. Mikrut?
The match is over: L. Mikrut won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. Mikrut the favourite, priced at 1.28 against 3.43 for S. Nagal. Pronocast's model had L. Mikrut winning at 74 %.
When is the S. Nagal – L. Mikrut match?
On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 17:55, at the Braga tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between S. Nagal and L. Mikrut?
Since 2020, L. Mikrut leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Nagal – L. Mikrut?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Braga

Tournament page

Other matches on 7 October 2026

All matches on 7 October 2026