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S. Shimabukuro vs M. Kecmanovic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
S. ShimabukuroM. Kecmanovic
36.9 %63.1 %
Model favourite
M. Kecmanovic
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Kecmanovic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 128hard court06:10
S. Shimabukuro
S. Shimabukuro
vs
M. Kecmanovic
M. Kecmanovic
1997
Elo
2084
1871
Elo on hard court
1942
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.57
Odds
1.48

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Shimabukuro
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
M. Kecmanovic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
3 – 7
Wins – losses
4 – 6
8 – 16
Sets won – lost
12 – 15
2 losses
Current streak
2 losses
29-27 (52%)
2026 record
21-26 (45%)
116-93 (56%)
Record on hard court
89-96 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Shimabukuro and M. Kecmanovic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Kecmanovic comes in with an Elo of 2084, against 1997 for S. Shimabukuro: a 87-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 71 points in favour of M. Kecmanovic. S. Shimabukuro won 3 of the last ten matches, M. Kecmanovic won 4. S. Shimabukuro has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Kecmanovic has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Kecmanovic leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Kecmanovic the favourite.

The model gave M. Kecmanovic the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Kecmanovic won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

S. Shimabukuro's last five matches

M. Kecmanovic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Kecmanovic leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is S. Shimabukuro's first match of the tournament. This is M. Kecmanovic's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. Shimabukuro wins 50 % (52 of 105), M. Kecmanovic 45 % (71 of 158). In deciding sets, S. Shimabukuro wins 49 % of the time (98 matches), M. Kecmanovic 41 % (122 matches). After losing the first set, S. Shimabukuro turned 20 % of matches around (110 occasions), M. Kecmanovic 21 % (131 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Shimabukuro went on to win 82 % of matches, M. Kecmanovic 72 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Shimabukuro – M. Kecmanovic

Who is the favourite between S. Shimabukuro and M. Kecmanovic?
The match is over: M. Kecmanovic won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Kecmanovic the favourite, priced at 1.48 against 2.57 for S. Shimabukuro. Pronocast's model had M. Kecmanovic winning at 63 %.
When is the S. Shimabukuro – M. Kecmanovic match?
On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 06:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 128, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. Shimabukuro and M. Kecmanovic?
Since 2020, M. Kecmanovic leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Shimabukuro – M. Kecmanovic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 7 October 2026

All matches on 7 October 2026