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T. Legout vs B. Nakashima prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
T. LegoutB. Nakashima
65.5 %34.5 %
Model favourite
T. Legout
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · B. Nakashima

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonRound of 16hard court21:25
T. Legout
T. Legout
vs
B. Nakashima
B. Nakashima
1959
Elo
1857
1966
Elo on hard court
1842
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.45
Odds
2.70

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Legout
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
B. Nakashima
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
4 – 4
18 – 4
Sets won – lost
8 – 9
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
11-4 (73%)
2026 record
3-1 (75%)
16-11 (59%)
Record on hard court
4-4 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Legout and B. Nakashima, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Legout comes in with an Elo of 1959, against 1857 for B. Nakashima: a 102-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 124 points in favour of T. Legout. T. Legout won 9 of the last ten matches, B. Nakashima won 8. T. Legout has 4 wins in the last five matches. B. Nakashima has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Legout the favourite.

The model gave T. Legout the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. B. Nakashima won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

T. Legout's last five matches

B. Nakashima's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, T. Legout beat E. Bynoe (6-1 6-4), then D. Ostapenkov (6-3 6-4), then H. Searle (6-1 6-4). To reach this round, B. Nakashima beat K. Bigun (7-5 6-0), then Q. Vandecasteele (6-2 6-4), then A. Ilagan (7-5 6-7 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4).

Frequently asked questions about T. Legout – B. Nakashima

Who is the favourite between T. Legout and B. Nakashima?
The match is over: B. Nakashima won 2-0. Bookmakers make T. Legout the favourite, priced at 1.45 against 2.70 for B. Nakashima. Pronocast's model had T. Legout winning at 65 %.
When is the T. Legout – B. Nakashima match?
On Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 21:25, at the Tiburon tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Legout and B. Nakashima?
No meeting between T. Legout and B. Nakashima appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Legout – B. Nakashima?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 17 September 2026

All matches on 17 September 2026