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T. Legout vs D. Ostapenkov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
T. LegoutD. Ostapenkov
70.9 %29.1 %
Model favourite
T. Legout
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · T. Legout

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonQualifyinghard court21:45
T. Legout
T. Legout
vs
D. Ostapenkov
D. Ostapenkov
1921
Elo
1757
1932
Elo on hard court
1744
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.28
Odds
3.12

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Legout
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
D. Ostapenkov
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 6
Sets won – lost
14 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 win
9-4 (69%)
2026 record
12-7 (63%)
14-11 (56%)
Record on hard court
9-6 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Legout and D. Ostapenkov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Legout comes in with an Elo of 1921, against 1757 for D. Ostapenkov: a 164-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 188 points in favour of T. Legout. T. Legout won 9 of the last ten matches, D. Ostapenkov won 6. T. Legout has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Ostapenkov has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Legout the favourite.

The model gave T. Legout the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Legout won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

T. Legout's last five matches

D. Ostapenkov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, T. Legout beat E. Bynoe (6-1 6-4). To reach this round, D. Ostapenkov beat G. Grumet (6-2 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

After winning the first set, T. Legout went on to win 81 % of matches, D. Ostapenkov 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Legout – D. Ostapenkov

Who is the favourite between T. Legout and D. Ostapenkov?
The match is over: T. Legout won 2-0. Bookmakers make T. Legout the favourite, priced at 1.28 against 3.12 for D. Ostapenkov. Pronocast's model had T. Legout winning at 71 %.
When is the T. Legout – D. Ostapenkov match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 21:45, at the Tiburon tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Legout and D. Ostapenkov?
No meeting between T. Legout and D. Ostapenkov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Legout – D. Ostapenkov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026