V. Erjavec vs N. Brancaccio prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
V. ErjavecN. Brancaccio
54.1 %45.9 %
Model favourite
V. Erjavec
Probability
54 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-0 · N. Brancaccio

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerTolentinoRound of 16clay20:20
V. Erjavec
V. Erjavec
vs
1937
Elo
1927
1967
Elo on clay
1954
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.73
Odds
2.00

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

V. Erjavec
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
N. Brancaccio
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
11 – 14
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 win
21-23 (48%)
2026 record
12-18 (40%)
51-34 (60%)
Record on clay
53-59 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by V. Erjavec and N. Brancaccio, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1937 against 1927): nothing separates them in the model's rating. V. Erjavec won 4 of the last ten matches, N. Brancaccio won 5. V. Erjavec has one win in the last five matches. N. Brancaccio has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, V. Erjavec leads 3 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make V. Erjavec the favourite.

The model gave V. Erjavec the win at 54 %, with a likely score of 2-0. N. Brancaccio won 0-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

V. Erjavec's last five matches

N. Brancaccio's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

V. Erjavec leads 3 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, V. Erjavec beat K. Tsygourova (4-6 6-3 6-4). To reach this round, N. Brancaccio beat M. L. Carle (6-3 4-6 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by O. Oliynykova, who beat N. Brancaccio in the final (6-2 6-0).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, V. Erjavec wins 43 % (13 of 30), N. Brancaccio 35 % (11 of 31). In deciding sets, V. Erjavec wins 53 % of the time (36 matches), N. Brancaccio 33 % (42 matches). After losing the first set, V. Erjavec turned 12 % of matches around (66 occasions), N. Brancaccio 13 % (68 occasions). After winning the first set, V. Erjavec went on to win 95 % of matches, N. Brancaccio 77 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about V. Erjavec – N. Brancaccio

Who is the favourite between V. Erjavec and N. Brancaccio?
The match is over: N. Brancaccio won 0-1. Bookmakers make V. Erjavec the favourite, priced at 1.73 against 2.00 for N. Brancaccio. Pronocast's model had V. Erjavec winning at 54 %.
When is the V. Erjavec – N. Brancaccio match?
On Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 20:20, at the Tolentino tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between V. Erjavec and N. Brancaccio?
Since 2020, V. Erjavec leads 3 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for V. Erjavec – N. Brancaccio?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tolentino

Tournament page

Other matches on 24 September 2026

All matches on 24 September 2026