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A. Binda vs K. Uesugi prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. BindaK. Uesugi
72.9 %27.1 %
Model favourite
A. Binda
Probability
73 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · A. Binda

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGuangzhou 2Qualifyinghard court11:30
A. Binda
A. Binda
vs
K. Uesugi
K. Uesugi
1672
Elo
1507
1687
Elo on hard court
1464
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
2 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.28
Odds
3.34

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Binda
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
K. Uesugi
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
2 – 8
11 – 10
Sets won – lost
7 – 17
1 loss
Current streak
3 losses
13-15 (46%)
2026 record
1-3 (25%)
22-28 (44%)
Record on hard court
10-21 (32%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Binda and K. Uesugi, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Binda comes in with an Elo of 1672, against 1507 for K. Uesugi: a 165-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 223 points in favour of A. Binda. A. Binda won 5 of the last ten matches, K. Uesugi won 2. A. Binda has 2 wins in the last five matches. K. Uesugi has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Binda the favourite.

The model gave A. Binda the win at 73 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Binda won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Binda's last five matches

K. Uesugi's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Binda's first match of the tournament. This is K. Uesugi's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. M. Cerundolo, who beat A. Tabilo in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Binda wins 36 % (4 of 11), K. Uesugi 20 % (2 of 10). In deciding sets, A. Binda wins 54 % of the time (13 matches), K. Uesugi 30 % (10 matches). After losing the first set, A. Binda turned 12 % of matches around (33 occasions), K. Uesugi 6 % (17 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Binda went on to win 91 % of matches, K. Uesugi 63 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Binda – K. Uesugi

Who is the favourite between A. Binda and K. Uesugi?
The match is over: A. Binda won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Binda the favourite, priced at 1.28 against 3.34 for K. Uesugi. Pronocast's model had A. Binda winning at 73 %.
When is the A. Binda – K. Uesugi match?
On Sunday, 13 September 2026 at 11:30, at the Guangzhou 2 tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Binda and K. Uesugi?
No meeting between A. Binda and K. Uesugi appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Binda – K. Uesugi?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guangzhou 2

Tournament page

Other matches on 13 September 2026

All matches on 13 September 2026