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B. Tomic vs A. Binda prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
B. TomicA. Binda
81.2 %18.8 %
Model favourite
B. Tomic
Probability
81 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · B. Tomic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGuangzhou 2Quarter-finalhard court13:45
B. Tomic
B. Tomic
vs
A. Binda
A. Binda
1980
Elo
1722
1941
Elo on hard court
1738
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
4
Recent matches
7
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.14
Odds
4.44

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Tomic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
A. Binda
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 10
Sets won – lost
14 – 8
2 wins
Current streak
4 wins
26-20 (57%)
2026 record
17-15 (53%)
94-76 (55%)
Record on hard court
26-28 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Tomic and A. Binda, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

B. Tomic comes in with an Elo of 1980, against 1722 for A. Binda: a 258-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 204 points in favour of B. Tomic. B. Tomic won 6 of the last ten matches, A. Binda won 7. B. Tomic has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Binda has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make B. Tomic the favourite.

The model gave B. Tomic the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. B. Tomic won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

B. Tomic's last five matches

A. Binda's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, B. Tomic beat Y. Kikuchi (6-0 6-2), then Ja. Delaney (6-3 6-2). To reach this round, A. Binda beat K. Uesugi (7-6 6-3), then K. Ogura (6-4 4-6 6-4), then A. Wang (6-3 6-4), then F. Sun (4-6 7-6 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. M. Cerundolo, who beat A. Tabilo in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Tomic wins 56 % (54 of 96), A. Binda 46 % (6 of 13). In deciding sets, B. Tomic wins 59 % of the time (94 matches), A. Binda 60 % (15 matches). After losing the first set, B. Tomic turned 27 % of matches around (112 occasions), A. Binda 15 % (34 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Tomic went on to win 83 % of matches, A. Binda 92 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Tomic – A. Binda

Who is the favourite between B. Tomic and A. Binda?
The match is over: B. Tomic won 2-0. Bookmakers make B. Tomic the favourite, priced at 1.14 against 4.44 for A. Binda. Pronocast's model had B. Tomic winning at 81 %.
When is the B. Tomic – A. Binda match?
On Friday, 18 September 2026 at 13:45, at the Guangzhou 2 tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Tomic and A. Binda?
No meeting between B. Tomic and A. Binda appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Tomic – A. Binda?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guangzhou 2

Tournament page

Other matches on 18 September 2026

All matches on 18 September 2026