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E. Ymer vs M. Sharipov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
E. YmerM. Sharipov
34.1 %65.9 %
Model favourite
M. Sharipov
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Sharipov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGuangzhou 2Quarter-finalhard court11:50
E. Ymer
E. Ymer
vs
M. Sharipov
M. Sharipov
1915
Elo
1967
1860
Elo on hard court
1995
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
3
Recent matches
7
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.75
Odds
1.37

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Ymer
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
M. Sharipov
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
7 – 3
9 – 13
Sets won – lost
16 – 8
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
18-17 (51%)
2026 record
22-11 (67%)
77-91 (46%)
Record on hard court
46-21 (69%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Ymer and M. Sharipov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Sharipov comes in with an Elo of 1967, against 1915 for E. Ymer: a 51-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 135 points in favour of M. Sharipov. E. Ymer won 4 of the last ten matches, M. Sharipov won 8. E. Ymer has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Sharipov has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Sharipov the favourite.

The model gave M. Sharipov the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Sharipov won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

E. Ymer's last five matches

M. Sharipov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, E. Ymer beat S. Pankin (5-7 7-5 6-3), then L. Castelnuovo (7-6 6-4). To reach this round, M. Sharipov beat T. J. Fancutt (6-2 6-3), then L. Harris (4-6 7-6 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. M. Cerundolo, who beat A. Tabilo in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Ymer wins 46 % (62 of 136), M. Sharipov 54 % (15 of 28). In deciding sets, E. Ymer wins 52 % of the time (123 matches), M. Sharipov 61 % (28 matches). After losing the first set, E. Ymer turned 21 % of matches around (169 occasions), M. Sharipov 22 % (36 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Ymer went on to win 80 % of matches, M. Sharipov 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Ymer – M. Sharipov

Who is the favourite between E. Ymer and M. Sharipov?
The match is over: M. Sharipov won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Sharipov the favourite, priced at 1.37 against 2.75 for E. Ymer. Pronocast's model had M. Sharipov winning at 66 %.
When is the E. Ymer – M. Sharipov match?
On Friday, 18 September 2026 at 11:50, at the Guangzhou 2 tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Ymer and M. Sharipov?
No meeting between E. Ymer and M. Sharipov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Ymer – M. Sharipov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guangzhou 2

Tournament page

Other matches on 18 September 2026

All matches on 18 September 2026