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A. Charaeva vs S. Kenin prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. CharaevaS. Kenin
48.9 %51.1 %
Model favourite
S. Kenin
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · A. Charaeva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASeoulRound of 32hard court11:20
A. Charaeva
A. Charaeva
vs
S. Kenin
S. Kenin
2096
Elo
2003
1908
Elo on hard court
1892
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
3
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.92
Odds
1.85

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Charaeva
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
S. Kenin
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
3 – 7
11 – 13
Sets won – lost
10 – 15
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
32-22 (59%)
2026 record
7-21 (25%)
18-19 (49%)
Record on hard court
60-80 (43%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Charaeva and S. Kenin, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Charaeva comes in with an Elo of 2096, against 2003 for S. Kenin: a 93-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 16 points in favour of A. Charaeva. A. Charaeva won 5 of the last ten matches, S. Kenin won 3. A. Charaeva has 2 wins in the last five matches. S. Kenin has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make S. Kenin the favourite.

The model gave S. Kenin the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Charaeva won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Charaeva's last five matches

S. Kenin's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Charaeva's first match of the tournament. This is S. Kenin's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Swiatek, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (1-6 7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Charaeva wins 46 % (12 of 26), S. Kenin 46 % (30 of 65). In deciding sets, A. Charaeva wins 57 % of the time (30 matches), S. Kenin 42 % (66 matches). After losing the first set, A. Charaeva turned 26 % of matches around (47 occasions), S. Kenin 14 % (108 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Charaeva went on to win 87 % of matches, S. Kenin 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Charaeva – S. Kenin

Who is the favourite between A. Charaeva and S. Kenin?
The match is over: A. Charaeva won 2-1. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: A. Charaeva is priced at 1.92, S. Kenin at 1.85. Pronocast's model had S. Kenin winning at 51 %.
When is the A. Charaeva – S. Kenin match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 11:20, at the Seoul tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Charaeva and S. Kenin?
No meeting between A. Charaeva and S. Kenin appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Charaeva – S. Kenin?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seoul

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026