A. Korneeva vs D. Astakhova prediction
The prediction, computed before the match
Correct prediction- Model favourite
- A. Korneeva
- Probability
- 83 %
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Actual score
- 2-1 · A. Korneeva
Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.
- 2245
- Elo
- 2005
- 2170
- Elo on hard court
- 1962
- 7 / 10
- Form (last 10)
- 8 / 10
- 1
- Recent matches
- 4
- Even
- Head-to-head
- Even
- 1.16
- Odds
- 5.10
Form and record before the match
Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- L
- W
- W
- W
- 7 – 3
- Wins – losses
- 5 – 5
- 14 – 7
- Sets won – lost
- 12 – 13
- 1 win
- Current streak
- 3 wins
- 28-14 (67%)
- 2026 record
- 8-6 (57%)
- 42-23 (65%)
- Record on hard court
- 4-6 (40%)
ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Korneeva and D. Astakhova, before this match.
What the numbers said before the match
A. Korneeva comes in with an Elo of 2245, against 2005 for D. Astakhova: a 240-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 208 points in favour of A. Korneeva. A. Korneeva won 7 of the last ten matches, D. Astakhova won 8. A. Korneeva has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Astakhova has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Korneeva the favourite.
The model gave A. Korneeva the win at 83 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Korneeva won 2-1: prediction correct.
Recent matches
A. Korneeva's last five matches
- VM. SawangkaewSeoul 2026 · Round of 32 · 21 September 20266-4 6-2
- DM. KeysUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 1 September 20265-7 4-6
- VV. LepchenkoCincinnati 2026 · Qualifying · 12 August 20266-3 6-1
- DC. GauffToronto 2026 · Round of 16 · 9 August 20263-6 1-6
- VI. JovicToronto 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 August 20266-3 6-4
D. Astakhova's last five matches
- VM. LinetteSeoul 2026 · Round of 32 · 21 September 20263-6 6-1 7-6
- VA. ShubladzeSeoul 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20266-4 6-4
- VH. KajiSeoul 2026 · Qualifying · 19 September 20266-2 6-7 6-2
- DM. BassolsUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 25 August 20266-4 6-7 3-6
- DF. JonesPalermo 2026 · Round of 32 · 21 July 20263-6 2-6
Head-to-head since 2020
No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Road through the tournament
To reach this round, A. Korneeva beat M. Sawangkaew (6-4 6-2). To reach this round, D. Astakhova beat H. Kaji (6-2 6-7 6-2), then A. Shubladze (6-4 6-4), then M. Linette (3-6 6-1 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Swiatek, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (1-6 7-6 7-5).
Key numbers
In deciding sets, A. Korneeva wins 65 % of the time (26 matches), D. Astakhova 59 % (17 matches). After losing the first set, A. Korneeva turned 29 % of matches around (41 occasions), D. Astakhova 22 % (23 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Korneeva went on to win 91 % of matches, D. Astakhova 75 %.
Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.
Frequently asked questions about A. Korneeva – D. Astakhova
- Who is the favourite between A. Korneeva and D. Astakhova?
- The match is over: A. Korneeva won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Korneeva the favourite, priced at 1.16 against 5.10 for D. Astakhova. Pronocast's model had A. Korneeva winning at 83 %.
- When is the A. Korneeva – D. Astakhova match?
- On Wednesday, 23 September 2026 at 08:25, at the Seoul tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
- What is the head-to-head between A. Korneeva and D. Astakhova?
- No meeting between A. Korneeva and D. Astakhova appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
- Where can I see the prediction for A. Korneeva – D. Astakhova?
- The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.
How the model computes its predictions
Same tournament: Seoul
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