A. Korneeva vs D. Astakhova prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. KorneevaD. Astakhova
83.4 %16.6 %
Model favourite
A. Korneeva
Probability
83 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · A. Korneeva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASeoulRound of 16hard court08:25
2245
Elo
2005
2170
Elo on hard court
1962
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
1
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.16
Odds
5.10

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Korneeva
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
D. Astakhova
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
14 – 7
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
1 win
Current streak
3 wins
28-14 (67%)
2026 record
8-6 (57%)
42-23 (65%)
Record on hard court
4-6 (40%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Korneeva and D. Astakhova, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Korneeva comes in with an Elo of 2245, against 2005 for D. Astakhova: a 240-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 208 points in favour of A. Korneeva. A. Korneeva won 7 of the last ten matches, D. Astakhova won 8. A. Korneeva has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Astakhova has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Korneeva the favourite.

The model gave A. Korneeva the win at 83 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Korneeva won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Korneeva's last five matches

D. Astakhova's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Korneeva beat M. Sawangkaew (6-4 6-2). To reach this round, D. Astakhova beat H. Kaji (6-2 6-7 6-2), then A. Shubladze (6-4 6-4), then M. Linette (3-6 6-1 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Swiatek, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (1-6 7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, A. Korneeva wins 65 % of the time (26 matches), D. Astakhova 59 % (17 matches). After losing the first set, A. Korneeva turned 29 % of matches around (41 occasions), D. Astakhova 22 % (23 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Korneeva went on to win 91 % of matches, D. Astakhova 75 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Korneeva – D. Astakhova

Who is the favourite between A. Korneeva and D. Astakhova?
The match is over: A. Korneeva won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Korneeva the favourite, priced at 1.16 against 5.10 for D. Astakhova. Pronocast's model had A. Korneeva winning at 83 %.
When is the A. Korneeva – D. Astakhova match?
On Wednesday, 23 September 2026 at 08:25, at the Seoul tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Korneeva and D. Astakhova?
No meeting between A. Korneeva and D. Astakhova appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Korneeva – D. Astakhova?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seoul

Tournament page

Other matches on 23 September 2026

All matches on 23 September 2026