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A. Mannarino vs F. Cobolli prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. MannarinoF. Cobolli
36.3 %63.7 %
Model favourite
F. Cobolli
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · A. Mannarino

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 64hard court06:10
A. Mannarino
A. Mannarino
vs
F. Cobolli
F. Cobolli
2040
Elo
2256
1965
Elo on hard court
2064
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.59
Odds
1.49

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Mannarino
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
F. Cobolli
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
12 – 14
Sets won – lost
16 – 16
1 loss
Current streak
3 losses
19-31 (38%)
2026 record
33-21 (61%)
100-113 (47%)
Record on hard court
82-75 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Mannarino and F. Cobolli, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Cobolli comes in with an Elo of 2256, against 2040 for A. Mannarino: a 216-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 99 points in favour of F. Cobolli. A. Mannarino won 5 of the last ten matches, F. Cobolli won 6. A. Mannarino has 3 wins in the last five matches. F. Cobolli has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Cobolli the favourite.

The model gave F. Cobolli the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Mannarino won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Mannarino's last five matches

F. Cobolli's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Mannarino's first match of the tournament. This is F. Cobolli's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Mannarino wins 46 % (62 of 136), F. Cobolli 56 % (83 of 149). In deciding sets, A. Mannarino wins 50 % of the time (105 matches), F. Cobolli 64 % (133 matches). After losing the first set, A. Mannarino turned 20 % of matches around (182 occasions), F. Cobolli 26 % (186 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Mannarino went on to win 83 % of matches, F. Cobolli 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Mannarino – F. Cobolli

Who is the favourite between A. Mannarino and F. Cobolli?
The match is over: A. Mannarino won 2-1. Bookmakers make F. Cobolli the favourite, priced at 1.49 against 2.59 for A. Mannarino. Pronocast's model had F. Cobolli winning at 64 %.
When is the A. Mannarino – F. Cobolli match?
On Friday, 9 October 2026 at 06:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Mannarino and F. Cobolli?
No meeting between A. Mannarino and F. Cobolli appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Mannarino – F. Cobolli?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 October 2026

All matches on 9 October 2026