Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

A. Matusevich vs A. Guerrieri prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. MatusevichA. Guerrieri
48.0 %52.0 %
Model favourite
A. Guerrieri
Probability
52 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · A. Guerrieri

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoRound of 32hard court13:35
A. Matusevich
A. Matusevich
vs
A. Guerrieri
A. Guerrieri
1938
Elo
2039
1910
Elo on hard court
1944
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.02
Odds
1.69

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Matusevich
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
A. Guerrieri
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 9
Sets won – lost
13 – 14
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
17-12 (59%)
2026 record
39-20 (66%)
14-9 (61%)
Record on hard court
17-14 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Matusevich and A. Guerrieri, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Guerrieri comes in with an Elo of 2039, against 1938 for A. Matusevich: a 101-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 34 points in favour of A. Guerrieri. A. Matusevich won 7 of the last ten matches, A. Guerrieri won 6. A. Matusevich has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Guerrieri has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Guerrieri the favourite.

The model gave A. Guerrieri the win at 52 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Guerrieri won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Matusevich's last five matches

A. Guerrieri's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Matusevich beat T. Cacao (4-6 6-4 6-4), then R. Bertrand (6-3 6-7 6-0). This is A. Guerrieri's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Matusevich wins 54 % (14 of 26), A. Guerrieri 32 % (9 of 28). In deciding sets, A. Matusevich wins 38 % of the time (29 matches), A. Guerrieri 67 % (36 matches). After losing the first set, A. Matusevich turned 21 % of matches around (29 occasions), A. Guerrieri 28 % (54 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Matusevich went on to win 71 % of matches, A. Guerrieri 94 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Matusevich – A. Guerrieri

Who is the favourite between A. Matusevich and A. Guerrieri?
The match is over: A. Guerrieri won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Guerrieri the favourite, priced at 1.69 against 2.02 for A. Matusevich. Pronocast's model had A. Guerrieri winning at 52 %.
When is the A. Matusevich – A. Guerrieri match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 13:35, at the Porto tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Matusevich and A. Guerrieri?
No meeting between A. Matusevich and A. Guerrieri appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Matusevich – A. Guerrieri?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026