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S. Tsitsipas vs R. Hijikata prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
S. TsitsipasR. Hijikata
66.6 %33.4 %
Model favourite
S. Tsitsipas
Probability
67 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · S. Tsitsipas

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoQualifyinghard court04:10
S. Tsitsipas
S. Tsitsipas
vs
R. Hijikata
R. Hijikata
2266
Elo
2121
2155
Elo on hard court
2028
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Tsitsipas
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
R. Hijikata
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 11
Sets won – lost
13 – 11
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
31-20 (61%)
2026 record
34-27 (56%)
124-73 (63%)
Record on hard court
141-103 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Tsitsipas and R. Hijikata, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

S. Tsitsipas comes in with an Elo of 2266, against 2121 for R. Hijikata: a 145-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 127 points in favour of S. Tsitsipas. S. Tsitsipas won 7 of the last ten matches, R. Hijikata won 6. S. Tsitsipas has 4 wins in the last five matches. R. Hijikata has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, S. Tsitsipas leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave S. Tsitsipas the win at 67 %, with a likely score of 2-0. S. Tsitsipas won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

S. Tsitsipas's last five matches

R. Hijikata's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

S. Tsitsipas leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, S. Tsitsipas beat Y. Nishioka (7-5 6-2). To reach this round, R. Hijikata beat C. Ugo Carabelli (6-2 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. Tsitsipas wins 55 % (106 of 194), R. Hijikata 61 % (81 of 133). In deciding sets, S. Tsitsipas wins 62 % of the time (102 matches), R. Hijikata 54 % (112 matches). After losing the first set, S. Tsitsipas turned 28 % of matches around (130 occasions), R. Hijikata 24 % (157 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Tsitsipas went on to win 90 % of matches, R. Hijikata 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Tsitsipas – R. Hijikata

Who is the favourite between S. Tsitsipas and R. Hijikata?
The match is over: S. Tsitsipas won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had S. Tsitsipas winning at 67 %.
When is the S. Tsitsipas – R. Hijikata match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 04:10, at the Tokyo tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. Tsitsipas and R. Hijikata?
Since 2020, S. Tsitsipas leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Tsitsipas – R. Hijikata?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026