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A. Matusevich vs R. Bertrand prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. MatusevichR. Bertrand
60.1 %39.9 %
Model favourite
A. Matusevich
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · A. Matusevich

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoQualifyinghard court14:25
A. Matusevich
A. Matusevich
vs
R. Bertrand
R. Bertrand
1928
Elo
1781
1894
Elo on hard court
1801
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
7
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.54
Odds
2.26

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Matusevich
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
R. Bertrand
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
4 – 6
16 – 10
Sets won – lost
9 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 win
16-12 (57%)
2026 record
10-19 (34%)
13-9 (59%)
Record on hard court
42-57 (42%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Matusevich and R. Bertrand, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Matusevich comes in with an Elo of 1928, against 1781 for R. Bertrand: a 147-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 93 points in favour of A. Matusevich. A. Matusevich won 6 of the last ten matches, R. Bertrand won 7. A. Matusevich has 3 wins in the last five matches. R. Bertrand has 3 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to A. Matusevich. Bookmakers make A. Matusevich the favourite.

The model gave A. Matusevich the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Matusevich won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Matusevich's last five matches

R. Bertrand's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Matusevich beat T. Cacao (4-6 6-4 6-4). To reach this round, R. Bertrand beat G. Valdoleiros (6-1 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Matusevich wins 56 % (14 of 25), R. Bertrand 38 % (10 of 26). In deciding sets, A. Matusevich wins 36 % of the time (28 matches), R. Bertrand 49 % (37 matches). After losing the first set, A. Matusevich turned 21 % of matches around (29 occasions), R. Bertrand 16 % (70 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Matusevich went on to win 70 % of matches, R. Bertrand 74 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Matusevich – R. Bertrand

Who is the favourite between A. Matusevich and R. Bertrand?
The match is over: A. Matusevich won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Matusevich the favourite, priced at 1.54 against 2.26 for R. Bertrand. Pronocast's model had A. Matusevich winning at 60 %.
When is the A. Matusevich – R. Bertrand match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 14:25, at the Porto tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Matusevich and R. Bertrand?
No meeting between A. Matusevich and R. Bertrand appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Matusevich – R. Bertrand?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026