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A. Mayo vs C. Smith prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. MayoC. Smith
34.7 %65.3 %
Model favourite
C. Smith
Probability
65 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · A. Mayo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerColumbusRound of 16hard court19:40
A. Mayo
A. Mayo
vs
C. Smith
C. Smith
1869
Elo
1968
1848
Elo on hard court
1906
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.59
Odds
1.44

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Mayo
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
C. Smith
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
4 – 6
16 – 7
Sets won – lost
12 – 14
1 win
Current streak
1 win
23-19 (55%)
2026 record
25-22 (53%)
79-74 (52%)
Record on hard court
49-34 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Mayo and C. Smith, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

C. Smith comes in with an Elo of 1968, against 1869 for A. Mayo: a 100-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 58 points in favour of C. Smith. A. Mayo won 7 of the last ten matches, C. Smith won 4. A. Mayo has 3 wins in the last five matches. C. Smith has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Mayo leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make C. Smith the favourite.

The model gave C. Smith the win at 65 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Mayo won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Mayo's last five matches

C. Smith's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Mayo leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Mayo beat N. Filin (6-4 6-4). To reach this round, C. Smith beat D. Chan (6-2 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat M. Damm in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Mayo wins 49 % (37 of 75), C. Smith 40 % (17 of 42). In deciding sets, A. Mayo wins 46 % of the time (70 matches), C. Smith 62 % (42 matches). After losing the first set, A. Mayo turned 18 % of matches around (101 occasions), C. Smith 20 % (54 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Mayo went on to win 82 % of matches, C. Smith 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Mayo – C. Smith

Who is the favourite between A. Mayo and C. Smith?
The match is over: A. Mayo won 2-0. Bookmakers make C. Smith the favourite, priced at 1.44 against 2.59 for A. Mayo. Pronocast's model had C. Smith winning at 65 %.
When is the A. Mayo – C. Smith match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 19:40, at the Columbus tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Mayo and C. Smith?
Since 2020, A. Mayo leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Mayo – C. Smith?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Columbus

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026