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A. Moro Canas vs P. Lagutin prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. Moro CanasP. Lagutin
56.8 %43.2 %
Model favourite
A. Moro Canas
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · A. Moro Canas

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBiellaRound of 16clay11:55
A. Moro Canas
A. Moro Canas
vs
PL
P. Lagutin
1937
Elo
2006
1904
Elo on clay
2010
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
9 / 10
5
Recent matches
7
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.68
Odds
2.06

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Moro Canas
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
P. Lagutin
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
8 – 2
12 – 12
Sets won – lost
17 – 8
1 win
Current streak
3 wins
28-26 (52%)
2026 record
10-3 (77%)
67-73 (48%)
Record on clay
8-2 (80%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Moro Canas and P. Lagutin, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Lagutin comes in with an Elo of 2006, against 1937 for A. Moro Canas: a 69-point edge. On clay, the gap is 106 points in favour of P. Lagutin. A. Moro Canas won 5 of the last ten matches, P. Lagutin won 9. A. Moro Canas has 3 wins in the last five matches. P. Lagutin has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Moro Canas the favourite.

The model gave A. Moro Canas the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Moro Canas won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Moro Canas's last five matches

P. Lagutin's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Moro Canas beat G. Blancaneaux (6-2 7-6). To reach this round, P. Lagutin beat M. Roehrich (6-1 6-0), then M. Marterer (6-2 6-2), then E. Dalla Valle (3-6 7-6 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by S. Napolitano, who beat K. Feldbausch in the final (7-5 6-3).

Key numbers

After winning the first set, A. Moro Canas went on to win 80 % of matches, P. Lagutin 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Moro Canas – P. Lagutin

Who is the favourite between A. Moro Canas and P. Lagutin?
The match is over: A. Moro Canas won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Moro Canas the favourite, priced at 1.68 against 2.06 for P. Lagutin. Pronocast's model had A. Moro Canas winning at 57 %.
When is the A. Moro Canas – P. Lagutin match?
On Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 11:55, at the Biella tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between A. Moro Canas and P. Lagutin?
No meeting between A. Moro Canas and P. Lagutin appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Moro Canas – P. Lagutin?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Biella

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 September 2026

All matches on 16 September 2026