A. Sasnovich vs V. Lepchenko prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

A. SasnovichV. Lepchenko

77.5 %22.5 %

Model favourite: A. Sasnovich
Probability: 77 %
Predicted score: 2-0; Exact score
Actual score: 2-0 · A. Sasnovich

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingQualifyinghard court07:15

A. Sasnovich

V. Lepchenko

2079
Elo: 1877; 2046
Elo on hard court: 1821; 4 / 10
Form (last 10): 3 / 10; 3
Recent matches: 1; Edge
Head-to-head: –; 1.22
Odds: 3.56

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Sasnovich

V. Lepchenko

4 – 6
Wins – losses: 3 – 7; 10 – 13
Sets won – lost: 10 – 15; 1 win
Current streak: 1 win; 27-22 (55%)
2026 record: 17-24 (41%); 89-78 (53%)
Record on hard court: 59-52 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Sasnovich and V. Lepchenko, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Sasnovich comes in with an Elo of 2079, against 1877 for V. Lepchenko: a 202-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 226 points in favour of A. Sasnovich. A. Sasnovich won 4 of the last ten matches, V. Lepchenko won 3. A. Sasnovich has 3 wins in the last five matches. V. Lepchenko has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Sasnovich leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Sasnovich the favourite.

The model gave A. Sasnovich the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Sasnovich won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Sasnovich's last five matches

VJ. ZhangBeijing 2026 · Qualifying · 28 September 20266-2 6-0
DM. AndreevaSingapore 2026 · Round of 16 · 23 September 20262-6 2-6
VD. KasatkinaSingapore 2026 · Round of 32 · 21 September 20267-5 6-0
DV. ValdmannovaUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 27 August 20267-5 3-6 1-6
VD. GalfiUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 26 August 20267-6 6-3

V. Lepchenko's last five matches

VU. EikeriBeijing 2026 · Qualifying · 28 September 20266-2 6-4
DA. ParksGuadalajara 2026 · Round of 32 · 13 September 20263-6 6-1 5-7
DC. LiuBarranquilla 2026 · Round of 16 · 9 September 20263-6 3-6
VK. ScottBarranquilla 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 September 20267-6 6-1
DG. KnutsonUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 25 August 20261-6 5-7

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Sasnovich leads 2 to 0

VV. LepchenkoBeijing 2025 · Qualifying · 23 September 20256-4 6-1
VV. LepchenkoWTA San Diego 2023 · Qualifying · 10 September 20236-3 6-2

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Sasnovich beat J. Zhang (6-2 6-0). To reach this round, V. Lepchenko beat U. Eikeri (6-2 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Sasnovich wins 44 % (33 of 75), V. Lepchenko 48 % (29 of 60). In deciding sets, A. Sasnovich wins 48 % of the time (97 matches), V. Lepchenko 54 % (71 matches). After losing the first set, A. Sasnovich turned 17 % of matches around (122 occasions), V. Lepchenko 16 % (94 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Sasnovich went on to win 83 % of matches, V. Lepchenko 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Sasnovich – V. Lepchenko

Who is the favourite between A. Sasnovich and V. Lepchenko?: The match is over: A. Sasnovich won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Sasnovich the favourite, priced at 1.22 against 3.56 for V. Lepchenko. Pronocast's model had A. Sasnovich winning at 77 %.
When is the A. Sasnovich – V. Lepchenko match?: On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 07:15, at the Beijing tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Sasnovich and V. Lepchenko?: Since 2020, A. Sasnovich leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Sasnovich – V. Lepchenko?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions