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A. Shelbayh vs D. Ostapenkov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. ShelbayhD. Ostapenkov
70.8 %29.2 %
Model favourite
A. Shelbayh
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · A. Shelbayh

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerColumbusRound of 16hard court18:40
A. Shelbayh
A. Shelbayh
vs
D. Ostapenkov
D. Ostapenkov
1908
Elo
1806
1911
Elo on hard court
1791
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.30
Odds
3.10

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Shelbayh
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
D. Ostapenkov
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
11 – 14
Sets won – lost
13 – 11
1 win
Current streak
3 wins
23-25 (48%)
2026 record
16-9 (64%)
86-63 (58%)
Record on hard court
12-7 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Shelbayh and D. Ostapenkov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Shelbayh comes in with an Elo of 1908, against 1806 for D. Ostapenkov: a 103-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 120 points in favour of A. Shelbayh. A. Shelbayh won 5 of the last ten matches, D. Ostapenkov won 6. A. Shelbayh has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Ostapenkov has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Shelbayh the favourite.

The model gave A. Shelbayh the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Shelbayh won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Shelbayh's last five matches

D. Ostapenkov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Shelbayh beat L. Tu (3-6 6-2 6-3). To reach this round, D. Ostapenkov beat I. Palavestra (7-6 6-1), then Q. Vandecasteele (6-2 7-6), then R. Perot (1-6 6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat M. Damm in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Shelbayh wins 49 % (36 of 74), D. Ostapenkov 71 % (10 of 14). In deciding sets, A. Shelbayh wins 54 % of the time (82 matches), D. Ostapenkov 70 % (10 matches). After losing the first set, A. Shelbayh turned 19 % of matches around (113 occasions), D. Ostapenkov 30 % (10 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Shelbayh went on to win 83 % of matches, D. Ostapenkov 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Shelbayh – D. Ostapenkov

Who is the favourite between A. Shelbayh and D. Ostapenkov?
The match is over: A. Shelbayh won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Shelbayh the favourite, priced at 1.30 against 3.10 for D. Ostapenkov. Pronocast's model had A. Shelbayh winning at 71 %.
When is the A. Shelbayh – D. Ostapenkov match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 18:40, at the Columbus tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Shelbayh and D. Ostapenkov?
No meeting between A. Shelbayh and D. Ostapenkov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Shelbayh – D. Ostapenkov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Columbus

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026